Malvín vs Defensor Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
85:76
19/01/2026 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6167
Field goals made
3230
Field goals %
52.46%44.78%
2-point field goals attempts
3840
2-point field goals made
2324
2-point field goals %
60.53%60%
3-point field goals attempts
2327
3-point field goals made
96
3-point field goals %
39.13%22.22%
Free throws attempts
2112
Free throws made
1210
Free throws %
57.1%83.3%
Offensive rebounds
710
Defensive rebounds
2727
Total rebounds
3437
Assists
1914
Blocks
11
Turnovers
811
Steals
73
Personal fouls
2022

Chances of winning


Malvín
66.5%
Defensor Sporting
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.2% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 46.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malvín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Malvín's performance.
  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Defensor Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malvín than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malvín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+13.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensor Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Malvín - Defensor Sporting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.71)

    2.77
    (1.94)
    7.9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 164.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Malvín - Defensor Sporting?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -9.5, OT - Defensor (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 85:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Malvín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Malvín is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1573:1435. (average 78.7:71.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malvín won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 787:715. (average 78.7:71.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malvín - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
    04.11.2025 Defensor Sporting - Malvín 76:92
    04.02.2025 Defensor Sporting - Malvín 87:80
    16.12.2024 Malvín - Defensor Sporting 86:73
    23.01.2024 Defensor Sporting - Malvín 85:82
    20.11.2023 Malvín - Defensor Sporting 73:75
    Latest results of Malvín
    15.01.2026 Goes - Malvín 83:86
    07.01.2026 Malvín - Aguada 89:72
    19.12.2025 Welcome - Malvín 99:89
    09.12.2025 Cordón - Malvín 77:91
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol221931933:161139
    2Hebraica y Macabi221481860:179836
    3Malvin221481799:177934
    4Nacional221482031:182834
    5Defensor2212101902:187134
    6Aguada221572022:190433
    7Union Atletica2211111826:181533
    8Bigua2211111944:195433
    9Urunday229131956:189931
    10Goes226161797:196028
    11Welcome224181776:209426
    12Cordon223191771:210423

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