Result
85:83
16/03/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 62 | 62 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 51.61% | 48.39% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 34 | 33 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 67.65% | 60.61% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 28 | 29 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 32.14% | 34.48% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 66.7% | 68.4% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 34 | 34 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
Chances of winning
Malvín 61.1% | Defensor Sporting 38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Malvín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malvín than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malvín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensor Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Malvín - Defensor Sporting Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.51 ↓ (1.63) |
|
2.37 ↑ (2.11) |
8.7% (8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 163.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Malvín - Defensor Sporting?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -3.5 - Defensor (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -4 - Defensor (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -4.5 - Defensor (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -5 - Defensor (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -5.5 - Defensor (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -6 - Defensor (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -4.5, OT - Defensor (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -5.5, OT - Defensor (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -7.5, OT - Defensor (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -6.5, OT - Defensor (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Defensor (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -3 - Defensor (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - Defensor (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5, OT - Defensor (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -3.5, OT - Defensor (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor (votes: 16 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:80.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Malvín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Malvín could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1573:1429. (average 78.7:71.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Malvín won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 787:709. (average 78.7:70.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Malvín won against Defensor Sporting?
Malvín has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Defensor Sporting won against Malvín?
Defensor Sporting has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Malvín - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
19.01.2026
Malvín
-
Defensor Sporting
85:76
04.11.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Malvín
76:92
04.02.2025
Defensor Sporting
-
Malvín
87:80
16.12.2024
Malvín
-
Defensor Sporting
86:73
23.01.2024
Defensor Sporting
-
Malvín
85:82
Latest results of Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
Winners stage | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 24 | 20 | 4 | 2101:1777 | 42 |
| 2 | Hebraica y Macabi | 25 | 15 | 10 | 2103:2072 | 40 |
| 3 | Malvin | 24 | 16 | 8 | 1974:1938 | 38 |
| 4 | Aguada | 24 | 17 | 7 | 2205:2061 | 37 |
| 5 | Defensor | 25 | 12 | 13 | 2152:2134 | 37 |
| 6 | Nacional | 22 | 14 | 8 | 2031:1828 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liga Uruguaya (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)