Malvín vs Defensor Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
85:83
16/03/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Uruguaya - Winners stage

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6262
Field goals made
3230
Field goals %
51.61%48.39%
2-point field goals attempts
3433
2-point field goals made
2320
2-point field goals %
67.65%60.61%
3-point field goals attempts
2829
3-point field goals made
910
3-point field goals %
32.14%34.48%
Free throws attempts
1819
Free throws made
1213
Free throws %
66.7%68.4%
Offensive rebounds
87
Defensive rebounds
2627
Total rebounds
3434
Assists
1712
Blocks
20
Turnovers
1010
Steals
73
Personal fouls
1919

Chances of winning


Malvín
61.1%
Defensor Sporting
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 47%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Malvín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malvín than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Malvín that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Defensor Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Malvín - Defensor Sporting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.63)

    2.37
    (2.11)
    8.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 163.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Malvín - Defensor Sporting?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3.5 - Defensor (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4 - Defensor (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5 - Defensor (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5 - Defensor (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5 - Defensor (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6 - Defensor (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Defensor (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Defensor (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Defensor (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Defensor (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Defensor (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3 - Defensor (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Defensor (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Defensor (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Defensor (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Defensor (votes: 16 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:80.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Malvín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Malvín could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Malvín won 15 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 1573:1429. (average 78.7:71.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Malvín won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 787:709. (average 78.7:70.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Malvín - Defensor Sporting were as follows:
    19.01.2026 Malvín - Defensor Sporting 85:76
    04.11.2025 Defensor Sporting - Malvín 76:92
    04.02.2025 Defensor Sporting - Malvín 87:80
    16.12.2024 Malvín - Defensor Sporting 86:73
    23.01.2024 Defensor Sporting - Malvín 85:82
    Latest results of Malvín
    12.03.2026 Malvín - Hebraica y Macabi 90:76
    19.02.2026 Malvín - Unión Atlética 79:73
    11.02.2026 Hebraica y Macabi - Malvín 87:83
    03.02.2026 Nacional - Malvín 79:53
    Latest results of Defensor Sporting
    Uruguayan Liga Basketball Table
    Winners stage
    PlWLPts
    1Penarol242042101:177742
    2Hebraica y Macabi2515102103:207240
    3Malvin241681974:193838
    4Aguada241772205:206137
    5Defensor2512132152:213437
    6Nacional221482031:182834

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