Vitoria Guimarães vs Mamede – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
15/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Taca de Portugal - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
49.1%
Mamede
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Mamede has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamede than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Vitoria Guimarães - Mamede Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.85)

    1.82
    (1.85)
    8.3%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mamede may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Mamede has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 47:27. (average 2.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Mamede were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Mamede - Vitoria Guimarães 1:3
    25.01.2025 Mamede - Vitoria Guimarães 3:1
    12.01.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Mamede 3:1
    03.11.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Mamede 2:3
    20.09.2024 Mamede - Vitoria Guimarães 0:3
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Latest results of Mamede
    07.02.2026 Mamede - SC Espinho 3:0
    01.02.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Mamede 3:0
    27.01.2026 Mamede - Castêlo da Maia 1:3
    24.01.2026 Mamede - Clube K 3:0
    17.01.2026 Mamede - Gondomar 2:3
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1VitoriaSanto Tirso3 : 0
    2VianaMamede0 : 3
    3Castelo Maia GCBenfica1 : 3
    4OeirasClube K2 : 3
    5MadalenaSporting CP0 : 3
    6GinasticaSporting de Espinho0 : 3
    7Leixoes SCAD Machico3 : 0
    8Academica de EspinhoGondomar3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1VitoriaMamede3 : 0
    2BenficaClube K3 : 0
    3Sporting CPSporting de Espinho3 : 0
    4Leixoes SCAcademica de Espinho1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1VitoriaBenfica
    2Sporting CPAcademica de Espinho