Mamelodi Sundowns vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Mamelodi Sundowns - Borussia Dortmund
Result
3:4
21/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Round 2
  • Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.612.19
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (511/583)81% (315/388)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.612.19
xG on target (xGOT)
2.572.53
Total shots
168
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
50
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
45
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1825
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Passes
88% (511/583)81% (315/388)
Long passes
47% (22/47)50% (24/48)
Passes in final third
65% (62/96)67% (52/78)
Crosses
0% (0/2)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.751.44
Throw-ins
1913
Fouls
915
Tackles
57% (8/14)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3725
Clearances
514
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
21
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.532.57
Goals prevented
-0.47-0.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Ribeiro L. ⚽, Matthews T. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 1, Nmecha F. ⚽,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Guirassy S. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 3, Bellingham J. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 59', 1 - 4, Mudau K. (Own goal),
  • 62', 2 - 4, Rayners I. ⚽,
  • 62', Nmecha F. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
  • 62', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 64', Chukwuemeka C. 🟨,
  • 66', Matthews T. 🟨,
  • 69', Matthews T. ↓, Morena T. ↑,
  • 69', Ribeiro L. ↓, Arthur Sales ↑,
  • 69', Mokoena T. ↓, Adams J. ↑,
  • 77', Rayners I. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
  • 83', Sule N. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,
  • 83', Bellingham J. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
  • 85', Beier M. 🟨,
  • 86', Zwane T. ↓, Lethlaku K. ↑,
  • 90', 3 - 4, Mothiba L. ⚽, Lethlaku K. (A),
  • 90+2', Guirassy S. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
  • 90+5', Allende M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mamelodi Sundowns
13.1%		Draw
19.9%		Borussia Dortmund
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 16.8% 72.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
    •

    Mamelodi Sundowns - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 7.59 ↓
    (9.23)    		 4.83 ↓
    (5.66)    		 1.43 ↑
    (1.31)    		 4%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Borussia D will win (votes: 36 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 80.7% – 99.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2 - Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
    • AH +1.25 - Borussia D (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Mamelodi Sundowns is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Borussia D is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, Borussia D is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Mamelodi Sundowns: Nyanga S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Can E. (Groin Injury) Kabar A. (International duty) Ozcan S. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Watjen K. (International duty)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
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    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    17.06.2025 Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund 0:0 ✺
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    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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