Kaizer Chiefs vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South African Premier Soccer League Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns
Result
0:0
27/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Betway Premiership - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport PSL
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.26
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
136
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Passes
78% (224/289)86% (426/495)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.09
Total shots
136
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
42
Touches in opposition box
2512
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1712
Passes
78% (224/289)86% (426/495)
Long passes
41% (17/41)68% (30/44)
Passes in final third
65% (58/89)63% (54/86)
Crosses
39% (7/18)50% (3/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.810.54
Throw-ins
1318
Fouls
1219
Tackles
68% (13/19)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5744
Clearances
2024
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.090.62
Goals prevented
0.090.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Basadien F. 🟨,
  • 41', Mmodi P. 🟨,
  • 43', Duba W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Basadien F. , Modiba A. ,
  • 60', Duba W. , Du Preez A. ,
  • 65', Mthethwa S. 🟨,
  • 66', Shabalala M. , Sirino G. ,
  • 67', Cele T. , Ndlovu S. ,
  • 71', Matthews T. , Mabena S. ,
  • 71', Morena T. , Mdunyelwa Z. ,
  • 71', Rayners I. , Mothiba L. ,
  • 76', Mokoena T. , Aubaas B. J. ,
  • 87', Adams J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Kaizer Chiefs
18.3%
Draw
29.6%
Mamelodi Sundowns
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 26.6% 55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2% 25.2% 58.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kaizer Chiefs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaizer Chiefs than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mamelodi Sundowns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.06
    (5.1)
    3.14
    (3.48)
    1.78
    (1.67)
    7.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kaizer Chiefs will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kaizer Chiefs: 31.2%83%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kaizer Chiefs will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaizer Chiefs won 1.
    • Kaizer Chiefs is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaizer Chiefs won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 20:38. (average 1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kaizer Chiefs won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 9:22. (average 0.9:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs 1:2
    01.03.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Kaizer Chiefs 1:0
    02.11.2024 Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:4
    28.09.2024 Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:2
    02.05.2024 Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:5
    Latest results of Kaizer Chiefs
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sekhukhune54108:1713
    2Kaizer Chiefs54105:0513
    3Mamelodi Sundowns53206:1511
    4TS Galaxy53029:549
    5Orlando Pirates53026:339
    6Durban City52214:318
    7AmaZulu52214:408
    8Marumo Gallants52125:507
    9Golden Arrows52125:6-17
    10Polokwane51312:206
    11Siwelele51133:5-24
    12Richards Bay51132:4-24
    13Stellenbosch51132:5-34
    14Magesi50323:6-33
    15Orbit College51042:8-63
    16Chippa Utd50142:10-81

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