Result
1:2
18/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Betway Premiership - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-africa | SABC 3, SABC Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.88 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (231/301) | 87% (438/505) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (231/301) | 87% (438/505) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (23/49) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (57/99) | 63% (64/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 4', Sibisi N. 🟨,
- 26', Mokoena T. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Leon B. ⚽, Santos N. (A),
- 41', 0 - 2, Leon B. ⚽, Modiba A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 2, Maswanganyi P. ⚽, Mbuthuma Y. (A),
- 59', Adams J. 🟨,
- 62', Kekana G. 🟨,
- 66', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Moremi T. ↑,
- 66', Santos N. ↓, Allende M. ↑,
- 72', Matthews T. 🟨,
- 73', Matthews T. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
- 73', Ndamane K. ↓, Johannes K. ↑,
- 74', Appollis O. ↓, De Jong A. ↑,
- 78', Leon B. 🟨,
- 79', Leon B. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
- 79', Modiba A. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
- 85', Sebelebele K. ↓, van Rooyen D. ↑,
- 85', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Msendami D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orlando Pirates
31.9% | Draw
36.5% | Mamelodi Sundowns
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↓
(3.03) |
2.54 ↑
(2.47) |
2.92 ↑
(2.85) |
7.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Orlando Pirates (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 2.
- Orlando Pirates has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Mamelodi Sundowns is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pirates won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Orlando Pirates has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Orlando Pirates?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
01.11.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Orlando Pirates
1:1
23.08.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Orlando Pirates
1:2
16.08.2025
Orlando Pirates
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1
16.03.2025
Orlando Pirates
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
2:0
08.02.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Orlando Pirates
4:1
Latest results of Orlando Pirates
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
South African Premier Soccer League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns ✔ | 26 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 44:13 | 31 | 61 |
| 2 | Orlando Pirates ✔ | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 51:12 | 39 | 59 |
| 3 | Kaizer Chiefs | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | AmaZulu | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 42 |
| 5 | Sekhukhune | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Polokwane | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 20:17 | 3 | 37 |
| 7 | Durban City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 23:23 | 0 | 36 |
| 8 | Golden Arrows | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 9 | Siwelele | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 15:17 | -2 | 32 |
| 10 | Stellenbosch | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 24:28 | -4 | 32 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 31 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 25:34 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Chippa Utd | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 14 | Magesi | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 22:37 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:35 | -17 | 21 |
| 16 | Orbit College | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 19:42 | -23 | 20 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mamelodi Sundowns is Qualified for CAF Champions League
Orlando Pirates is Qualified for CAF Champions League
