Marumo Gallants vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Thohoyandou Stadium (Thohoyandou).

Betway Premiership - Round 6
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport PSL
South-africa	SuperSport PSL

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	1.31
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	4
Passes
69% (167/242)	89% (546/616)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40	1.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.25	0.53
Total shots
8	14
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
4	9
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
7	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
18	7
Passes
69% (167/242)	89% (546/616)
Long passes
41% (20/49)	58% (35/60)
Passes in final third
59% (40/68)	75% (141/188)
Crosses
29% (2/7)	52% (12/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.39	1.36
Throw-ins
10	22
Fouls
7	18
Tackles
64% (9/14)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
50	30
Clearances
30	9
Interceptions
8	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
0.53	0.25
Goals prevented
-0.47	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Rayners I. ⚽, Allende M. (A),
34', Lunga D. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Cupido K. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lunga D. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
46', Rayners I. ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
61', Adams J. ↓, Lethlaku K. ↑,
70', Mabuza B. ↓, Motloung T. ↑,
70', Morena T. ↓, Mudau K. ↑,
76', Arthur Sales ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
86', Ndlondlo N. ↓, Sithole K. ↑,
86', Msendami D. ↓, Clifford J. ↑,
87', Nhlapo S. 🟨,
89', Lethlaku K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Marumo Gallants
13%

Draw
31.4%

Mamelodi Sundowns
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

21.3%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.2%

20.5%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marumo Gallants has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marumo Gallants than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mamelodi Sundowns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.42 ↑ (7.72)	3.5 ↓ (4.23)	1.97 ↑ (1.34)	-8.9% (11.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 7 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marumo Gallants won 0.
Recent performances by Marumo Gallants have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Mamelodi Sundowns is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Marumo Gallants won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 7:25. (average 0.6:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Marumo Gallants won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:17. (average 0.5:2.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Marumo Gallants won against Mamelodi Sundowns?

Marumo Gallants has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Marumo Gallants?

Mamelodi Sundowns has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:

19.02.2025 Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:3

10.11.2024 Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:2

24.09.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Marumo Gallants 4:1

06.05.2023 Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:2

02.03.2023 Marumo Gallants - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:3

Latest results of Marumo Gallants

31.08.2025 Marumo Gallants - Polokwane City 1:1 ✺

26.08.2025 Stellenbosch - Marumo Gallants 1:0 ✺

20.08.2025 AmaZulu - Marumo Gallants 1:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Marumo Gallants - Orlando Pirates 2:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Richards Bay - Marumo Gallants 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns

14.09.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Magesi 3:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Kaizer Chiefs - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 1:2 ✺

20.08.2025 Magesi - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:2 ✺

South African Premier Soccer League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sekhukhune	6	5	1	0	11:2	9	16
2	Mamelodi Sundowns	7	4	3	0	10:2	8	15
3	Kaizer Chiefs	6	4	1	1	6:3	3	13
4	Durban City	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11
5	AmaZulu	6	3	2	1	6:5	1	11
6	TS Galaxy	6	3	1	2	10:6	4	10
7	Orlando Pirates	5	3	0	2	6:3	3	9
8	Polokwane	6	2	3	1	4:3	1	9
9	Marumo Gallants	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
10	Golden Arrows	6	2	1	3	6:8	-2	7
11	Richards Bay	6	1	2	3	3:5	-2	5
12	Stellenbosch	6	1	1	4	3:7	-4	4
13	Siwelele	6	1	1	4	3:7	-4	4
14	Chippa Utd	6	1	1	4	4:11	-7	4
15	Magesi	6	0	3	3	3:9	-6	3
16	Orbit College	6	1	0	5	3:10	-7	3

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
      Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
      Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship