Result
13/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Sports 1, Sooka |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sport 1 |
 South-africa | SABC 3, SABC Plus, SuperSport Variety 4 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 79% | 21% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (569/636) | 54% (88/162) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
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| 9 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (569/636) | 54% (88/162) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (44/62) | 25% (12/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (117/156) | 38% (24/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 27 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -0.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Mudau K. ⚽, Arthur Sales (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', 2 - 0, Leon B. ⚽, Santos N. (A),
- 64', Matthews T. ↓, Saleng M. ↑,
- 66', Leon B. ↓, Rayners I. ↑,
- 71', Adams J. ↓, Allende M. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Rayners I. ⚽, Santos N. (A),
- 77', Arthur Sales ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
- 81', Coulibaly O. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
- 81', Coulibaly D. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 87', Traore M. ↓, Simpara Z. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mamelodi Sundowns
78.9% | Draw
16.1% | Stade Malien
5.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mamelodi Sundowns's performance.Stade Malien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stade Malien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-11.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mamelodi Sundowns that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stade Malien could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mamelodi Sundowns - Stade Malien Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.18 ↓
(1.4) |
5.78 ↑
(4) |
18.64 ↑
(6.75) |
7.4%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns - Stade Malien?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Stade Malien will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mamelodi Sundowns: 64.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- Mamelodi Sundowns is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Stade Malien has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Stade Malien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Mamelodi Sundowns will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Stade Malien?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Malien won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Stade Malien has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mamelodi Sundowns - Stade Malien were as follows:
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
Latest results of Stade Malien
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Esperance Tunis | Al Ahly | |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | FAR Rabat | Pyramids | |
| 4 | Berkane | Al-Hilal Omdurman | |
Semi-finalsFinal
