Result
2:0
22/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CAF Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Melki M. (Tun)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Indonesia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Football Plus |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 South-africa | SABC 1, SABC Plus, SuperSport Variety 4 |
 Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (156/219) | 80% (321/403) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (156/219) | 80% (321/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 33% (18/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (58/95) | 64% (72/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (8/28) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (11/11) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Nkeng T. ⚽, Traore M. (A),
- 10', Coulibaly D. 🟨,
- 20', Rayners I. 🟨,
- 25', Bode A. 🟨,
- 35', Traore M. 🟨,
- 40', 2 - 0, Mandjan H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ndamane K. ↓, Cupido K. ↑,
- 63', Rayners I. ↓, Leon B. ↑,
- 63', Arthur Sales ↓, Matthews T. ↑,
- 77', Modiba A. 🟥,
- 80', Santos N. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
- 81', Allende M. ↓, Mdunyelwa Z. ↑,
- 83', Leon B. 🟨,
- 85', Diallo M. ↓, Conde M. ↑,
- 89', Traore M. ↓, Simpara Z. ↑,
- 90+2', Williams R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Mdunyelwa Z. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Stade Malien
34.4% | Draw
31.2% | Mamelodi Sundowns
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Malien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Malien's performance.Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Malien than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Malien that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mamelodi Sundowns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Stade Malien - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(3.43) |
2.97 ↓
(3.2) |
2.67 ↑
(1.95) |
8.1%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Stade Malien - Mamelodi Sundowns?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Stade Malien will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-3. Second leg.
- Stade Malien is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mamelodi Sundowns is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Stade Malien may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Mamelodi Sundowns has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stade Malien won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Malien won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Stade Malien has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Stade Malien?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Malien - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
13.03.2026
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Stade Malien
3:0
Latest results of Stade Malien
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Esperance Tunis | Al Ahly | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Stade Malien | 0 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 3 | FAR Rabat | Pyramids | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Berkane | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Esperance Tunis | Mamelodi Sundowns | |
| 2 | FAR Rabat | Berkane | |
Final
