Stellenbosch vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South African Premier Soccer League Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns
Result
0:1
30/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Betway Premiership - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport PSL
kenyaKenyaGotv
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.47
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
210
Shots on target
04
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
67% (160/240)84% (455/541)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.181.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.001.75
Total shots
210
Shots on target
04
Shots off target
24
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
28
Shots outside the Box
02
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
1123
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
75
Free Kicks
914
Passes
67% (160/240)84% (455/541)
Long passes
27% (16/59)48% (33/69)
Passes in final third
48% (34/71)60% (53/89)
Crosses
17% (3/18)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.170.27
Throw-ins
1925
Fouls
149
Tackles
67% (6/9)73% (8/11)
Duels won
2941
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.750.00
Goals prevented
0.750.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+2', 0 - 1, Shalulile P. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Arthur Sales , Rayners I. ,
  • 48', Godswill E. 🟨,
  • 55', Khiba T. , Mojela L. B. ,
  • 58', Aubaas B. J. 🟨,
  • 65', Lekoloane K. , Phili L. ,
  • 65', Godswill E. , Mokobodi T. ,
  • 66', Shalulile P. , Adams J. ,
  • 75', Cupido K. 🟨,
  • 76', Jabaar I. , Butsaka C. ,
  • 77', De Jong A. , Nku L. ,
  • 81', Aubaas B. J. , Mokoena T. ,
  • 81', Matthews T. , Lunga D. ,
  • 89', Lethlaku K. , Lebusa M. ,

Chances of winning


Stellenbosch
22.2%
Draw
28.2%
Mamelodi Sundowns
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.3% 26.5% 50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3% 25.4% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stellenbosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (3.97)
    3.27
    (3.48)
    1.86
    (1.84)
    8.4%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stellenbosch won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Stellenbosch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the team to beat.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Stellenbosch won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:28. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Stellenbosch won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch 3:0
    18.12.2024 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1
    01.09.2024 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:0
    28.08.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch 0:1
    18.05.2024 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1
    Latest results of Stellenbosch
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sekhukhune54108:1713
    2Kaizer Chiefs54105:0513
    3Mamelodi Sundowns53206:1511
    4TS Galaxy53029:549
    5Orlando Pirates53026:339
    6Durban City52214:318
    7AmaZulu52214:408
    8Marumo Gallants52125:507
    9Golden Arrows52125:6-17
    10Polokwane51312:206
    11Siwelele51133:5-24
    12Richards Bay51132:4-24
    13Stellenbosch51132:5-34
    14Magesi50323:6-33
    15Orbit College51042:8-63
    16Chippa Utd50142:10-81

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
          Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
          Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship