Mamelodi Sundowns vs Stellenbosch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/04/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Betway Premiership - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.731.28
Ball possession
74%26%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
33
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
43
Passes
91% (603/666)72% (158/218)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.731.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.332.24
Total shots
87
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
00
Shots inside the box
55
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1810
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
34
Free kicks
89
Passes
91% (603/666)72% (158/218)
Long passes
66% (31/47)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
71% (75/106)58% (32/55)
Crosses
10% (1/10)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.16
Throw ins
2320
Fouls
89
Tackles
40% (2/5)88% (7/8)
Duels won
2929
Clearances
1718
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
2.241.33
Goals prevented
1.240.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Ntsabeleng T. , Arthur Sales (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Ntsabeleng T. , Zwane T. ,
  • 63', Titus D. , Cupido A. ,
  • 63', Mthiyane M. , Jabaar I. ,
  • 64', Rayners I. , Leon B. ,
  • 75', Arthur Sales , Saleng M. ,
  • 77', Jabaar I. , Mabasa T. ,
  • 79', Palace G. 🟨,
  • 83', Phili L. , April S. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Mabasa T. ,
  • 88', Matthews T. , Morena T. ,
  • 88', Allende M. , Adams J. ,
  • 90+1', Mudau K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mamelodi Sundowns
68.4%
Draw
20.8%
Stellenbosch
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67% 21.6% 11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2% 20.6% 10.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Stellenbosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stellenbosch than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.37)
    4.47
    (4.26)
    8.58
    (8.03)
    7.5%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 3.
    • Mamelodi Sundowns is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Stellenbosch has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 1.6:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1
    11.05.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch 3:0
    18.12.2024 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1
    01.09.2024 Stellenbosch - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:0
    28.08.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Stellenbosch 0:1
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    Latest results of Stellenbosch
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mamelodi Sundowns ✔ 26187144:133161
    2Orlando Pirates ✔ 26185351:123959
    3Kaizer Chiefs26138529:171247
    4AmaZulu26126830:26442
    5Sekhukhune26109726:21539
    6Polokwane26910720:17337
    7Durban City261061023:23036
    8Golden Arrows261051131:32-135
    9Siwelele26711815:17-232
    10Stellenbosch26881024:28-432
    11Richards Bay26710921:27-631
    12TS Galaxy26751425:34-926
    13Chippa Utd26591221:38-1724
    14Magesi26491322:37-1521
    15Marumo Gallants26491318:35-1721
    16Orbit College26551619:42-2320

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
          Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
          Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Mamelodi Sundowns is Qualified for CAF Champions League
    Orlando Pirates is Qualified for CAF Champions League