TS Galaxy vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Nedbank Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport PSL, SuperSport Variety 4

Match Stats

Yellow cards
41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Ngwenya S. ,
  • 30', Johannes K. 🟨,
  • 32', 2 - 0, Zindoga J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 43', Maduna S. 🟨,
  • 45', Ngwenya S. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Motaung L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ntsabeleng T. , Morena T. ,
  • 46', Lethlaku K. , Matthews T. ,
  • 46', Maduna S. , Kakora T. ,
  • 46', Sibiya T. , Morena T. ,
  • 46', Ngwenya S. , Mvelase M. ,
  • 59', Kakora T. 🟨,
  • 61', Shalulile P. , Zwane T. ,
  • 70', Lunga D. , Modiba A. ,
  • 81', Letsoalo V. , Keita M. ,
  • 81', Zindoga J. , Mgaga N. ,

Chances of winning


TS Galaxy
46.2%
Draw
32.8%
Mamelodi Sundowns
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.5% 24.7% 56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9% 23.9% 58.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • TS Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+27.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TS Galaxy's performance.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-35.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mamelodi Sundowns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for TS Galaxy than the current prediction. (-28.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with TS Galaxy that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+37.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mamelodi Sundowns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.46
    (4.91)
    4.87
    (3.69)
    7.62
    (1.61)
    -37.5%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - TS Galaxy (4.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. TS Galaxy (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TS Galaxy won 1.
    • In recent matches, TS Galaxy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the team to beat.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, TS Galaxy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:22. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, TS Galaxy won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
    05.11.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - TS Galaxy 1:0
    22.02.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - TS Galaxy 4:1
    11.02.2025 TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:0
    21.05.2024 TS Galaxy - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1
    29.04.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - TS Galaxy 3:0
    Latest results of TS Galaxy
    13.02.2026 Durban City - TS Galaxy 2:0
    25.01.2026 AmaZulu - TS Galaxy 3:2
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1TS GalaxyBye
    2ByeMarumo Gallants
    3Mamelodi SundownsBye
    4The BeesGomora0 : 1
    5CardinalsBye
    6ByeJacksa Spears
    7Vasco Da GamaBye
    8ByeLuthuli Brigades
    9Hungry LionsVenda2 : 1
    10Leicesterford CityPretoria U.1 : 2
    11Kruger UnitedHighbury0 : 3
    12ByeSekhukhune
    13SSU M-17Bye
    14Milford FCBaroka2 : 0
    15MkhambathiBye
    16Lerumo LionsMidlands Wanderers1 : 0
    17Golden ArrowsBye
    18ByeOrbit College
    19StellenboschBye
    20ByeKaizer Chiefs
    21Cape Town CityUpington City0 : 1
    22ByeMagesi
    23Durban CityBye
    24ByeChippa Utd.
    25PolokwaneBye
    26ByeAmaZulu
    27SiweleleBye
    28ByeRichards Bay
    29Army RocketBye
    30Black LeopardsCasric Stars0 : 1
    31TshakhumaBye
    32ByeOrlando Pirates

    1/16-finals
    1TS GalaxyMarumo Gallants1 : 0
    2Mamelodi SundownsGomora2 : 1
    3CardinalsJacksa Spears2 : 4
    4Vasco Da GamaLuthuli Brigades4 : 1
    5Hungry LionsPretoria U.1 : 2
    6HighburySekhukhune0 : 1
    7SSU M-17Milford FC1 : 2
    8MkhambathiLerumo Lions2 : 1
    9Golden ArrowsOrbit College3 : 0
    10StellenboschKaizer Chiefs2 : 1
    11Upington CityMagesi1 : 0
    12Durban CityChippa Utd.1 : 0
    13PolokwaneAmaZulu1 : 2
    14SiweleleRichards Bay3 : 4
    15Army RocketCasric Stars0 : 3
    16TshakhumaOrlando Pirates1 : 4

    1/8-finals
    1TS GalaxyMamelodi Sundowns2 : 0
    2Jacksa SpearsVasco Da Gama1 : 0
    3Pretoria U.Sekhukhune0 : 1
    4Milford FCMkhambathi3 : 0
    5Golden ArrowsStellenbosch1 : 0
    6Upington CityDurban City0 : 1
    7AmaZuluRichards Bay1 : 0
    8Casric StarsOrlando Pirates1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1TS GalaxyJacksa Spears2 : 0
    2SekhukhuneMilford FC2 : 3
    3Golden ArrowsDurban City1 : 2
    4AmaZuluCasric Stars1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1TS GalaxyMilford FC
    2Durban CityCasric Stars

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2