El Palo vs Mancha Real – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
25/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


El Palo
36.9%
Draw
30.3%
Mancha Real
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.8% 30.3% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 29.4% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • El Palo - Mancha Real Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.46)
    3
    (2.98)
    2.76
    (2.75)
    10.2%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 0.
    • El Palo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mancha Real is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • El Palo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 0.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, El Palo won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between El Palo - Mancha Real were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Mancha Real - El Palo 0:0
    05.04.2025 El Palo - Mancha Real 0:2
    23.11.2024 Mancha Real - El Palo 1:1
    Latest results of El Palo
    18.01.2026 Arenas Armilla - El Palo 3:0
    14.01.2026 El Palo - Torreperogil 0:1
    14.12.2025 El Palo - Torre Del Mar 0:1
    Latest results of Mancha Real
    18.01.2026 Mancha Real - UD San Pedro 1:1
    11.01.2026 Mancha Real - Alhaurino 2:3
    20.12.2025 Mancha Real - Granada B 2:0
    14.12.2025 Huétor Vega - Mancha Real 1:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Motril301610450:262458
    2Mijas Las Lagunas30168634:191556
    3Arenas Armilla30149734:231151
    4Torre del Mar301312533:211251
    5Churriana de la Vega30129928:35-745
    6Marbelli301281031:25644
    7Torredonjimeno301111836:34244
    8Huetor Vega301181137:36141
    9Atletico de Porcuna301241435:33240
    10Granada CF B30912940:38239
    11UD San Pedro301091131:33-239
    12CD Alhaurino30991235:38-336
    13Melilla B308111123:24-135
    14Huetor Tajar308101236:39-334
    15Martos308101230:37-734
    16Mancha30881424:32-832
    17CD Torreperogil30761720:40-2027
    18El Palo30581724:48-2423

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