Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
4:1
05/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, Q League Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanCBC Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2, Cosmote Sport 4K
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 2
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena, TV8
japanJapanWowow Prime
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, RTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
moldovaMoldovaJurnal TV
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 5
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.940.94
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
114
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
87% (410/473)88% (413/472)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.940.94
xG on target (xGOT)
3.670.99
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
114
Shots off target
55
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
129
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
3827
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
87% (410/473)88% (413/472)
Long passes
56% (18/32)52% (25/48)
Passes in final third
71% (72/101)74% (88/119)
Crosses
20% (2/10)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.99
Throw-ins
1410
Fouls
1117
Tackles
42% (5/12)40% (6/15)
Duels won
5336
Clearances
2217
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
38
xGOT faced
0.993.67
Goals prevented
-0.01-0.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', Svensson D. 🟨,
  • 22', 1 - 0, Foden P. ⚽, Reijnders T. (A),
  • 29', 2 - 0, Haaland E. ⚽, Doku J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 57', 3 - 0, Foden P. ⚽, Reijnders T. (A),
  • 66', Sabitzer M. ↓, Gross P. ↑,
  • 66', Guirassy S. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 66', Bensebaini R. ↓, Can E. ↑,
  • 66', Beier M. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Anton W. ⚽, Ryerson J. (A),
  • 78', Savinho 🟨,
  • 79', Savinho ↓, Dias R. ↑,
  • 79', Reijnders T. ↓, Silva B. ↑,
  • 79', Doku J. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
  • 81', Adeyemi K. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
  • 85', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
  • 86', Haaland E. ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
  • 86', O'Reilly N. ↓, Ait Nouri R. ↑,
  • 90+1', 4 - 1, Cherki R. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Manchester City
67.9%		Draw
18.4%		Borussia Dortmund
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.9% 18.4% 14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8% 17.6% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.42
    (1.42)    		 5.21 ↑
    (5.15)    		 7.19 ↑
    (6.46)    		 3.5%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Man City will win (votes: 42 - 72.4%). Borussia D will win (votes: 5 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man City: 60.9% – 83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Man City (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Borussia D (60.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +1 - Borussia D (11.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Man City (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Manchester City will win (20 of 27 users predict this - 74.07%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 31 high ROI users predict this event. Man City (votes: 22 - 71%). Borussia D (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 19.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man City won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Man City is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Man City: Kovacic M. (Health problems) Phillips K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Brandt J. (Muscle Injury) Drewes P. (Inactive) Duranville J. (Shoulder Injury) Ozcan S. (Inactive) Sule N. (Toe Injury)
    • We predict that Man City will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Man City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    25.10.2022 Borussia Dortmund - Manchester City 0:0
    14.09.2022 Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund 2:1
    Latest results of Manchester City
    02.11.2025 Manchester City - Bournemouth 3:1 ✺
    29.10.2025 Swansea City - Manchester City 1:3 ✺
    26.10.2025 Aston Villa - Manchester City 1:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Villarreal - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    18.10.2025 Manchester City - Everton 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    31.10.2025 Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund 0:1 ✺
    28.10.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Köln 1:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Copenhagen - Borussia Dortmund 2:4 ✺
    18.10.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)3 : 0, 5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)2 : 1, 3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 4, 1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)2 : 7, 1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)0 : 5, 3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PSG (11)Liverpool (3)
    2Real Madrid (9)Bayern Munich (2)
    3Barcelona (5)Atl. Madrid (14)
    4Sporting CP (7)Arsenal (1)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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