Result
1:0
26/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Oliver M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport |
 Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Canal+ Live 2 |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Sport Mix, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Premier League |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 2 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 3 |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1 |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+ |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 4 |
 Tajikistan | Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, USA Network |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 1 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+ Sport 2, K+, TV 360 |
 World | Sport 24 Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (378/441) | 90% (442/492) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (378/441) | 90% (442/492) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (23/59) | 50% (10/20) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (52/87) | 81% (140/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 33% (7/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Cash M. ⚽, Buendia E. (A),
- 29', Buendia E. ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
- 40', Savinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Reijnders T. 🟨,
- 61', Silva B. ↓, Nico ↑,
- 61', Bobb O. ↓, Doku J. ↑,
- 61', Stones J. ↓, O'Reilly N. ↑,
- 64', Nico 🟨,
- 74', McGinn J. ↓, Barkley R. ↑,
- 74', Sancho J. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
- 76', Reijnders T. ↓, Cherki R. ↑,
- 80', Foden P. 🟨,
- 81', Kamara B. 🟨,
- 84', Savinho ↓, Marmoush O. ↑,
- 86', Watkins O. ↓, Malen D. ↑,
- 86', Digne L. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aston Villa
35.7% | Draw
33.9% | Manchester City
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aston Villa's performance.Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-12.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aston Villa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+22.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aston Villa - Manchester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.54 ↓
(3.83) |
3.9 ↑
(3.73) |
4.96 ↑
(1.92) |
-26%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Manchester City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Man City (1.75) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Aston Villa (1.98) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Aston Villa (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Manchester City will win
(96 of 115 users predict this - 83.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.69% – 90.27%. The data is statistically significant.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester City will win (53 of 58 users predict this - 91.38%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 64 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 4 - 6.3%). Man City (votes: 56 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 6.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
- Aston Villa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Man City is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Man City is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Aston Villa: Garcia A.
(Injury)
Tielemans Y.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Man City: Khusanov A.
(Ankle Injury)
Rodri
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Aston Villa: Digne L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Man City: Nico
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 18:50. (average 0.9:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Manchester City?
Aston Villa has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester City won against Aston Villa?
Manchester City has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Manchester City were as follows:
22.04.2025
Manchester City
-
Aston Villa
2:1
21.12.2024
Aston Villa
-
Manchester City
2:1
03.04.2024
Manchester City
-
Aston Villa
4:1
06.12.2023
Aston Villa
-
Manchester City
1:0
12.02.2023
Manchester City
-
Aston Villa
3:1
Latest results of Aston Villa
Latest results of Manchester City
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd ✔ | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 63:48 | 15 | 64 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 59:47 | 12 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48:44 | 4 | 58 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 35 | 12 | 16 | 7 | 55:52 | 3 | 52 |
| 7 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 8 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 45:54 | -9 | 37 |
| 18 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester Utd is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
