Crystal Palace vs Manchester City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Football English FA Cup Crystal Palace - Manchester City
Result
1:0
17/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - Final
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.742.30
Ball Possession
22%78%
Total shots
723
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
66% (126/192)91% (616/678)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
0.742.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.051.58
Total shots
723
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
410
Shots inside the Box
618
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1458
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
71
Free Kicks
77
Passes
66% (126/192)91% (616/678)
Long passes
27% (15/55)52% (11/21)
Passes in final third
39% (22/56)87% (287/329)
Crosses
50% (3/6)21% (7/33)
Expected assists (xA)
0.161.82
Throw-ins
514
Fouls
77
Tackles
22% (4/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4443
Clearances
4916
Interceptions
61
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.581.05
Goals prevented
1.580.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Eze E. ⚽, Munoz D. (A),
  • 36', Marmoush O. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Guehi M. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
  • 66', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
  • 75', Silva B. 🟨,
  • 76', Savinho ↓, Foden P. ↑,
  • 76', Marmoush O. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
  • 78', Mateta J. ↓, Nketiah E. ↑,
  • 82', Dias R. 🟨,
  • 85', De Bruyne K. 🟨,
  • 87', Wharton A. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
  • 88', Silva B. ↓, Gundogan I. ↑,
  • 90+1', Henderson D. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Echeverri C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crystal Palace
23.3%		Draw
25.4%		Manchester City
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.1% 23.1% 56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9% 22.9% 57.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Manchester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manchester City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchester City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Crystal Palace - Manchester City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.13 ↓
    (4.77)    		 3.78 ↓
    (4.14)    		 1.87 ↑
    (1.69)    		 4.1%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Crystal Palace - Manchester City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Man City (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Manchester City will win (40 of 46 users predict this - 86.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.23% – 96.69%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 0.
    • Crystal Palace is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Man City is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Crystal Palace may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Man City is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Man City: Ake N. (Ankle Injury) Bobb O. (Thigh Injury) Rodri (Knee Injury) Stones J. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:52. (average 1:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crystal Palace - Manchester City were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Manchester City - Crystal Palace 5:2
    07.12.2024 Crystal Palace - Manchester City 2:2
    06.04.2024 Crystal Palace - Manchester City 2:4
    16.12.2023 Manchester City - Crystal Palace 2:2
    11.03.2023 Crystal Palace - Manchester City 0:1
    Latest results of Crystal Palace
    11.05.2025 Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace 0:2 ✺
    05.05.2025 Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Aston Villa 3:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 2:2 ✺
    19.04.2025 Crystal Palace - Bournemouth 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Manchester City
    10.05.2025 Southampton - Manchester City 0:0 ✺
    02.05.2025 Manchester City - Wolverhampton Wanderers 1:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Nottingham Forest - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    22.04.2025 Manchester City - Aston Villa 2:1 ✺
    19.04.2025 Everton - Manchester City 0:2 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1ArsenalBye
    4ByeManchester Utd
    5LeicesterBye
    8ByeQPR
    9StevenageGuiseley2 : 1
    10Curzon AshtonMansfield0 : 4
    11WokingCambridge Utd0 : 1
    12CarlisleWigan0 : 2
    13FulhamBye
    16ByeWatford
    17HullBye
    19NorthamptonKettering1 : 2
    20BarrowDoncaster0 : 1
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    23Stockport CountyForest Green2 : 1
    24Brackley TownBraintree1 : 0
    25LeedsBye
    27HarrogateWrexham1 : 0
    28HednesfordGainsborough4 : 5
    29MillwallBye
    31MK DonsAFC Wimbledon0 : 2
    32CreweDag & Red0 : 1
    33PrestonBye
    35WalsallBolton2 : 1
    36SouthendCharlton3 : 4
    37GrimsbyWealdstone0 : 1
    38WycombeYork City3 : 2
    40ByePortsmouth
    41SouthamptonBye
    44ByeSwansea
    45ReadingFleetwood2 : 0
    46TonbridgeHarborough1 : 4
    48ByeBurnley
    49Aston VillaBye
    52ByeWest Ham
    53BurtonScarborough1 : 0
    54TamworthHuddersfield1 : 0
    56ByeTottenham
    57SunderlandBye
    60ByeStoke
    61Sheffield UtdBye
    64ByeCardiff
    65GillinghamBlackpool0 : 2
    66SuttonBirmingham0 : 1
    67MaidenheadCrawley1 : 2
    68CheshamLincoln0 : 4
    69NewcastleBye
    71Solihull MoorsMaidstone3 : 0
    72RochdaleBromley3 : 4
    73NorwichBye
    76ByeBrighton
    77ChelseaBye
    79WorthingMorecambe0 : 2
    80Bradford CityAldershot3 : 1
    81ExeterBarnet5 : 3
    82ChesterfieldHorsham FC3 : 1
    84ByeOxford Utd
    85NottinghamBye
    88ByeLuton
    89CoventryBye
    92ByeSheffield Wed
    93IpswichBye
    95Port ValeBarnsley1 : 3
    96Bristol RoversWeston-super-Mare3 : 1
    97EvertonBye
    99NewportPeterborough2 : 4
    100Notts CoAlfreton5 : 1
    101BournemouthBye
    104ByeWest Brom
    105MiddlesbroughBye
    108ByeBlackburn
    109Bristol CityBye
    112ByeWolves
    113Boreham WoodLeyton Orient2 : 3
    114TranmereOldham1 : 2
    116ByeDerby
    117Manchester CityBye
    119SalfordShrewsbury2 : 1
    120RotherhamCheltenham1 : 3
    121BrentfordBye
    124ByePlymouth
    125LiverpoolBye
    127RushallAccrington0 : 2
    128SwindonColchester2 : 1

    1/64-finals
    1ArsenalBye
    2ByeManchester Utd
    3LeicesterBye
    4ByeQPR
    5StevenageMansfield0 : 1
    6Cambridge UtdWigan1 : 2
    7FulhamBye
    8ByeWatford
    9HullBye
    10KetteringDoncaster1 : 2
    11Crystal PalaceBye
    12Stockport CountyBrackley Town3 : 1
    13LeedsBye
    14HarrogateGainsborough1 : 0
    15MillwallBye
    16AFC WimbledonDag & Red1 : 2
    17PrestonBye
    18WalsallCharlton0 : 4
    19WealdstoneWycombe0 : 2
    20ByePortsmouth
    21SouthamptonBye
    22ByeSwansea
    23ReadingHarborough5 : 3
    24ByeBurnley
    25Aston VillaBye
    26ByeWest Ham
    27BurtonTamworth1 : 2
    28ByeTottenham
    29SunderlandBye
    30ByeStoke
    31Sheffield UtdBye
    32ByeCardiff
    33BlackpoolBirmingham1 : 2
    34CrawleyLincoln3 : 4
    35NewcastleBye
    36Solihull MoorsBromley1 : 2
    37NorwichBye
    38ByeBrighton
    39ChelseaBye
    40MorecambeBradford City1 : 0
    41ExeterChesterfield2 : 0
    42ByeOxford Utd
    43NottinghamBye
    44ByeLuton
    45CoventryBye
    46ByeSheffield Wed
    47IpswichBye
    48BarnsleyBristol Rovers0 : 1
    49EvertonBye
    50PeterboroughNotts Co4 : 3
    51BournemouthBye
    52ByeWest Brom
    53MiddlesbroughBye
    54ByeBlackburn
    55Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWolves
    57Leyton OrientOldham2 : 1
    58ByeDerby
    59Manchester CityBye
    60SalfordCheltenham2 : 0
    61BrentfordBye
    62ByePlymouth
    63LiverpoolBye
    64AccringtonSwindon3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1ArsenalManchester Utd1 : 2
    2LeicesterQPR6 : 2
    3MansfieldWigan0 : 2
    4FulhamWatford4 : 1
    5HullDoncaster1 : 2
    6Crystal PalaceStockport County1 : 0
    7LeedsHarrogate1 : 0
    8MillwallDag & Red3 : 0
    9PrestonCharlton2 : 1
    10WycombePortsmouth2 : 0
    11SouthamptonSwansea3 : 0
    12ReadingBurnley1 : 3
    13Aston VillaWest Ham2 : 1
    14TamworthTottenham0 : 3
    15SunderlandStoke1 : 2
    16Sheffield UtdCardiff0 : 1
    17BirminghamLincoln2 : 1
    18NewcastleBromley3 : 1
    19NorwichBrighton0 : 4
    20ChelseaMorecambe5 : 0
    21ExeterOxford Utd3 : 1
    22NottinghamLuton2 : 0
    23CoventrySheffield Wed2 : 1
    24IpswichBristol Rovers3 : 0
    25EvertonPeterborough2 : 0
    26BournemouthWest Brom5 : 1
    27MiddlesbroughBlackburn0 : 1
    28Bristol CityWolves1 : 2
    29Leyton OrientDerby2 : 1
    30Manchester CitySalford8 : 0
    31BrentfordPlymouth0 : 1
    32LiverpoolAccrington4 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1Manchester UtdLeicester2 : 1
    2WiganFulham1 : 2
    3DoncasterCrystal Palace0 : 2
    4LeedsMillwall0 : 2
    5PrestonWycombe1 : 0
    6SouthamptonBurnley0 : 1
    7Aston VillaTottenham2 : 1
    8StokeCardiff3 : 4
    9BirminghamNewcastle2 : 3
    10BrightonChelsea2 : 1
    11ExeterNottingham2 : 3
    12CoventryIpswich1 : 4
    13EvertonBournemouth0 : 2
    14BlackburnWolves0 : 2
    15Leyton OrientManchester City1 : 2
    16PlymouthLiverpool1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Manchester UtdFulham1 : 2
    2Crystal PalaceMillwall3 : 1
    3PrestonBurnley3 : 0
    4Aston VillaCardiff2 : 0
    5NewcastleBrighton1 : 2
    6NottinghamIpswich2 : 1
    7BournemouthWolves2 : 1
    8Manchester CityPlymouth3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1FulhamCrystal Palace0 : 3
    2PrestonAston Villa0 : 3
    3BrightonNottingham0 : 1
    4BournemouthManchester City1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Crystal PalaceAston Villa3 : 0
    2NottinghamManchester City0 : 2

    Final
    1Crystal PalaceManchester City1 : 0
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