Manchester United U21 vs Derby County U21 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
06/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League 2
  • Referee: Smith N. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomMUTV App, MUTV

Match Stats

Ball possession
64%36%
Total shots
166
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
183
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
01
Total shots
166
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
112
Corner kicks
183

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Oguntolu J. , Gordon I. (A),
  • 29', McCormack R. 🟨,
  • 29', Tola M. 🟨,
  • 34', Kamason J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Wade S. , Davidson J. ,
  • 62', Tola M. 🟨,
  • 65', Canoville R. , Mintus M. ,
  • 65', Allen C. , Banks L. ,
  • 65', Smith C. , Offor R. ,
  • 68', Bailey J. , McAllister F. ,
  • 79', Ogunneye H. , Bradbury L. ,
  • 85', Leon D. , Kukonki G. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Bradbury L. , Sharpe M. (A),
  • 90+3', Oguntolu J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Manchester United U21
72.1%
Draw
14.6%
Derby County U21
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.7% 17% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 16.2% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United U21 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.38)
    6.27
    (5.48)
    6.88
    (6.1)
    9.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 28).
    • Man Utd U21 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Derby U21 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Man Utd U21 is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Man Utd U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    • Including home match between the teams, Man Utd U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21 were as follows:
    01.03.2024 Manchester United U21 - Derby County U21 2:4
    Latest results of Derby County U21
    English Premier League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Chelsea U21 ✔ 19141451:232843
    2Manchester Utd U21 ✔ 18124240:221840
    3Manchester City U21 ✔ 18121556:203637
    4Southampton U21 ✔ 19106336:28836
    5Fulham U2119105446:311535
    6Liverpool U2120112749:361335
    7Ipswich U2118112538:37135
    8West Ham U211986542:321030
    9Brighton U211985638:251329
    10Leicester U211984745:40528
    11Crystal Palace U211884634:29528
    12Sunderland U211883738:36227
    13Tottenham U211782736:30626
    14Arsenal U211875627:31-426
    15Middlesbrough U211966735:28724
    16Aston Villa U211673629:32-324
    17Nottingham U2119721021:23-223
    18Stoke City U211864828:41-1322
    19Wolves U211864829:43-1422
    20Everton U211863924:31-721
    21Reading U211863923:33-1021
    22Norwich U211955932:39-720
    23Newcastle Utd U211855826:33-720
    24Leeds U2118531025:35-1018
    25West Brom U2119531126:40-1418
    26Birmingham U2118441025:48-2316
    27Derby U211735922:39-1714
    28Burnley U2119341222:40-1813
    29Blackburn U2117321224:42-1811

          Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Chelsea U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester Utd U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Manchester City U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Southampton U21 is Qualified for Premier League 2 (Play Offs 1/8~finals)