Bayern Munich vs Manchester United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaDisney+
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Football Asia, TOD
austriaAustriaDisney+
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDisney+
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicDisney+
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
estoniaEstoniaDisney+
finlandFinlandDisney+
franceFranceDisney+
greeceGreeceDisney+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryDisney+
icelandIcelandDisney+
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
iranIranPersiana Sports 4
italyItalyDisney+
kazakhstanKazakhstanDisney+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoDisney+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes
netherlandsNetherlandsDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayDisney+
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandDisney+
portugalPortugalDisney+
romaniaRomaniaDisney+
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainDisney+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.360.72
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
54
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
143
Passes
87% (469/539)78% (233/298)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.360.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.151.68
Total shots
167
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
61
Shots inside the box
125
Shots outside the box
42
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
143
Touches in opposition box
478
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free kicks
76
Passes
87% (469/539)78% (233/298)
Long passes
56% (19/34)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
79% (158/200)58% (37/64)
Crosses
28% (8/29)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.820.48
Throw ins
1831
Fouls
67
Tackles
83% (15/18)36% (5/14)
Duels won
4833
Clearances
1936
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
31
xGOT faced
1.681.15
Goals prevented
0.68-0.85

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Malard M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Awujo S. , Naalsund L. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Viggosdottir G. , Simon C. (A),
  • 84', 2 - 1, Dallmann L. ,
  • 85', Simon C. , Caruso A. ,
  • 86', Lundkvist H. , Schuller L. ,
  • 86', Turner M. , George G. ,
  • 89', Gwinn G. , Ballisager S. ,
  • 90+2', Le Tissier M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bayern Munich
66.1%
Draw
18.4%
Manchester United
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 22.2% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 21.5% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich's performance.
  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Bayern Munich - Manchester United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.56)
    4.93
    (4.21)
    6.12
    (5.22)
    9.2%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Manchester United?
  • Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.85%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 3-2. Second leg.
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Bayern has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Man Utd is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bayern has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bayern is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Manchester United were as follows:
    25.03.2026 Manchester United - Bayern Munich 2:3
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    Latest results of Manchester United
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)1 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)0 : 6, 2 : 6
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)0 : 1, 3 : 1
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)0 : 4, 1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Bayern Munich W (4)Barcelona W (1)
    2Arsenal W (5)Lyon W (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2