Result
2:1
01/04/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Albania | Disney+ |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Q Football Asia, TOD |
Austria | Disney+ |
Bolivia | ESPN 2, ESPN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Disney+ |
Canada | OneSoccer |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Disney+ |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
Czech-republic | Disney+ |
Denmark | Disney+ |
Ecuador | ESPN |
Estonia | Disney+ |
Finland | Disney+ |
France | Disney+ |
Greece | Disney+ |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Hungary | Disney+ |
Iceland | Disney+ |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Iran | Persiana Sports 4 |
Italy | Disney+ |
Kazakhstan | Disney+ |
Kenya | Gotv |
Kosovo | Disney+ |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Mexico | TVC Deportes |
Netherlands | Disney+ |
Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Norway | Disney+ |
Paraguay | ESPN 2, ESPN |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Disney+ |
Portugal | Disney+ |
Romania | Disney+ |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Disney+ |
South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
Spain | Disney+ |
Sweden | Disney+ |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
United-kingdom | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Network, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
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|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
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| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
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| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 14 | 3 |
| Passes |
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| 87% (469/539) | 78% (233/298) |
| Yellow cards |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
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| 2.36 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 1.15 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
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| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
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| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
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| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 14 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 47 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (469/539) | 78% (233/298) |
| Long passes |
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| 56% (19/34) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 79% (158/200) | 58% (37/64) |
| Crosses |
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| 28% (8/29) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.82 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
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| 18 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Tackles |
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| 83% (15/18) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
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| 48 | 33 |
| Clearances |
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| 19 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.68 | 1.15 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.68 | -0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Malard M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', Awujo S. ↓, Naalsund L. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Viggosdottir G. ⚽, Simon C. (A),
- 84', 2 - 1, Dallmann L. ⚽,
- 85', Simon C. ↓, Caruso A. ↑,
- 86', Lundkvist H. ↓, Schuller L. ↑,
- 86', Turner M. ↓, George G. ↑,
- 89', Gwinn G. ↓, Ballisager S. ↑,
- 90+2', Le Tissier M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bayern Munich 66.1% | Draw 18.4% | Manchester United 15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bayern Munich's performance.Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Bayern Munich - Manchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.38 ↓ (1.56) |
4.93 ↑ (4.21) |
6.12 ↑ (5.22) |
9.2% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Bayern Munich - Manchester United?
Users Predictions:
Bayern Munich will win
(18 of 20 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.85% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 3-2. Second leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Bayern has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Man Utd is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Man Utd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bayern has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bayern is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Bayern will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bayern won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bayern Munich won against Manchester United?
Bayern Munich has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Bayern Munich?
Manchester United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayern Munich - Manchester United were as follows:
25.03.2026
Manchester United
-
Bayern Munich
2:3
Latest results of Bayern Munich
Latest results of Manchester United
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Madrid W (11) | Manchester Utd W (6) | 0 : 2, 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Bye | Bayern Munich W (4) | |
| 3 | Paris FC W (10) | Real Madrid W (7) | 0 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | Barcelona W (1) | |
| 5 | Leuven W (12) | Arsenal W (5) | 1 : 3, 0 : 4 |
| 6 | Bye | Chelsea W (3) | |
| 7 | Wolfsburg W (9) | Juventus W (8) | 2 : 0, 2 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Lyon W (2) | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Manchester Utd W (6) | Bayern Munich W (4) | 1 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Real Madrid W (7) | Barcelona W (1) | 0 : 6, 2 : 6 |
| 3 | Arsenal W (5) | Chelsea W (3) | 0 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Wolfsburg W (9) | Lyon W (2) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Bayern Munich W (4) | Barcelona W (1) | |
| 2 | Arsenal W (5) | Lyon W (2) | |
Final