Manchester United vs Sunderland – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 4 DRM
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 4, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCanal+ Live 9
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandPremier Sports 1 ROI
israelIsraelSport 1, Sport 2
italyItalySky Sport 257
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.71
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
79% (350/445)80% (332/416)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.880.71
xG on target (xGOT)
2.080.94
Total shots
158
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
3214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
79% (350/445)80% (332/416)
Long passes
34% (20/59)29% (15/52)
Passes in final third
66% (78/119)67% (69/103)
Crosses
71% (5/7)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.36
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1012
Tackles
56% (9/16)38% (8/21)
Duels won
4659
Clearances
2431
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.942.08
Goals prevented
0.940.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Mount M. ⚽, Mbeumo B. (A),
  • 29', Alderete O. 🟨,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Sesko B. ⚽,
  • 35', Sadiki N. 🟨,
  • 37', Adingra S. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 57', Traore B. 🟨,
  • 58', Traore B. ↓, Mayenda E. ↑,
  • 58', Masuaku A. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
  • 59', Isidor W. ↓, Brobbey B. ↑,
  • 64', Dalot D. ↓, Dorgu P. ↑,
  • 65', Mount M. ↓, Cunha M. ↑,
  • 76', Xhaka G. 🟨,
  • 77', Mbeumo B. ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
  • 79', Hume T. ↓, Geertruida L. ↑,
  • 81', Casemiro 🟨,
  • 85', Casemiro ↓, Ugarte M. ↑,
  • 85', Yoro L. ↓, Maguire H. ↑,

Chances of winning


Manchester United
63.5%		Draw
20.8%		Sunderland
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.1% 19.5% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 19% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
    •

    Manchester United - Sunderland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.53 ↑
    (1.47)    		 4.69 ↓
    (4.92)    		 6.37 ↑
    (6.25)    		 2.6%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Manchester United - Sunderland?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 41 - 71.9%). Sunderland will win (votes: 10 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 60.2% – 83.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 25 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 16 - 64%). Sunderland (votes: 7 - 28%). Tie (votes: 2 - 8%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Sunderland (5.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Sunderland (1.82) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
    • DC - Sunderland (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Sunderland (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Sunderland (5.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 18 - 52.9%). Sunderland (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 5.9%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Man Utd is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mazraoui N. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Sunderland: Cirkin D. (Wrist Injury) Diarra H. (Groin Injury) Hjelde L. F. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mandava R. (Red Card) Mundle R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sunderland: Alese A. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 1.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).
    Latest results of Manchester United
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    Latest results of Sunderland
    27.09.2025 Nottingham Forest - Sunderland 0:1 ✺
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    26.08.2025 Sunderland - Huddersfield Town 1:2 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal32217462:243870
    2Manchester City31197563:283564
    3Manchester Utd311510656:431355
    4Aston Villa32167943:38555
    5Liverpool321571052:421052
    6Chelsea321391053:411248
    7Brentford321381148:44447
    8Everton321381139:37247
    9Brighton3212101043:37646
    10Sunderland3212101033:36-346
    11Bournemouth321015748:49-145
    12Fulham321351443:46-344
    13Crystal Palace311191135:36-142
    14Newcastle321261445:47-242
    15Leeds317121237:48-1133
    16Nottingham32891532:44-1233
    17West Ham32881640:57-1732
    18Tottenham32791640:51-1130
    19Burnley32482033:63-3020
    20Wolves32382124:58-3417

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