Result
2:2
07/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
- Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport MaXimo 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 2 DRM, FuboTV |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3 |
 Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Amazon Prime Video |
 Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 7, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Prime |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport 2 |
 India | Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Iran | IRIB Varzesh |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Mexico | HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 Nepal | Kantipur Max |
 Netherlands | Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Action, Supersport Maximo 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1 |
 Pakistan | ARY ZAP |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Canal+ Extra 2 |
 Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Amazon Prime Video |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Premier League, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, USA Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Sport 24 At Sea |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (234/310) | 87% (504/577) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 2.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 30 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 13 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (234/310) | 87% (504/577) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (19/56) | 55% (18/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (63/86) | 79% (131/166) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 35% (9/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.42 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Heaven A. (Own goal),
- 41', Mejbri H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Sesko B. ⚽, Fernandes B. (A),
- 58', Mejbri H. ↓, Anthony J. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Sesko B. ⚽, Dorgu P. (A),
- 61', Fernandes B. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
- 61', Heaven A. ↓, Yoro L. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, Anthony J. ⚽, Edwards M. (A),
- 74', Cunha M. ↓, Zirkzee J. ↑,
- 74', Casemiro ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
- 76', Broja A. ↓, Foster L. ↑,
- 84', Ugarte M. ↓, Lacey S. ↑,
- 89', Parker S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Edwards M. ↓, Sonne O. ↑,
- 90+5', Foster L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Burnley
19.2% | Draw
24.4% | Manchester United
56.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Burnley's form might have worsened.Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burnley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Burnley - Manchester United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.97 ↑
(3.84) |
3.92 ↓
(4.1) |
1.7 ↓
(1.83) |
4.4%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Burnley - Manchester United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.5 - Man Utd (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Burnley (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.75 - Man Utd (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Manchester United will win
(65 of 73 users predict this - 89.04%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.87% – 96.21%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (34 of 35 users predict this - 97.14%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 2.6%). Man Utd (votes: 37 - 94.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 0.
- Burnley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Man Utd has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Burnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Man Utd is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z.
(Knee Injury)
Beyer J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Cullen J.
(Knee Injury)
Flemming Z.
(Knock)
Foster L.
(International duty)
Mejbri H.
(International duty)
Roberts C.
(Groin Injury)
Tuanzebe A.
(International duty)
Worrall J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Man Utd: Diallo A.
(International duty)
Maguire H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mazraoui N.
(International duty)
Mbeumo B.
(International duty)
de Ligt M.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Burnley: Esteve M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Man Utd: Mainoo K.
(Calf Injury)
Mount M.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:29. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Burnley won against Manchester United?
Burnley has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manchester United won against Burnley?
Manchester United has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Burnley - Manchester United were as follows:
30.08.2025
Manchester United
-
Burnley
3:2
27.04.2024
Manchester United
-
Burnley
1:1
23.09.2023
Burnley
-
Manchester United
0:1
21.12.2022
Manchester United
-
Burnley
2:0
Latest results of Burnley
Latest results of Manchester United
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal ✔ | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 67:26 | 41 | 76 |
| 2 | Manchester City ✔ | 33 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 66:29 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester Utd | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 60:46 | 14 | 61 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:44 | 13 | 58 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 47:42 | 5 | 58 |
| 6 | Brentford | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Brighton | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 49:42 | 7 | 50 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 52:52 | 0 | 49 |
| 9 | Chelsea | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 53:45 | 8 | 48 |
| 10 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 6 | 15 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Everton | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:41 | 0 | 47 |
| 12 | Sunderland | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Newcastle | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 49:51 | -2 | 45 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 36:39 | -3 | 43 |
| 15 | Leeds | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 43 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:45 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | West Ham | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 42:61 | -19 | 36 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 43:53 | -10 | 34 |
| 19 | Burnley ✔ | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35:71 | -36 | 20 |
| 20 | Wolves ✔ | 35 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 25:63 | -38 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Championship
Clinched Spots for Teams
Arsenal is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Manchester City is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Burnley is Relegated to Championship
Wolves is Relegated to Championship
