Result
3:1
13/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 25
- Referee: Ergun O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.91 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (451/519) | 75% (206/274) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (451/519) | 75% (206/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (39/62) | 50% (34/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (123/168) | 45% (34/76) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.72 | 2.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.28 | -0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Diony L. ⚽,
- 9', Gureler Y. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
- 13', Faye M. 🟨,
- 18', Karakus V. ↓, Bodur S. ↑,
- 26', 1 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽,
- 36', Kiprit M. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', Beyaz O. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Kayode O. ⚽, Niyaz R. (A),
- 66', Kanga G. 🟨,
- 66', Benrahou Y. 🟨,
- 66', Herelle C. 🟨,
- 72', Kanga G. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
- 81', Kayode O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 81', Amilton ↓, Lus B. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Faye M. ⚽, Catakovic H. (A),
Chances of winning
Erokspor
64.4% | Draw
21% | Manisa FK
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erokspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-2%)
Erokspor - Manisa FK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.37) |
4.46 ↓
(4.7) |
6.42 ↓
(6.77) |
7.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Erokspor - Manisa FK?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Erokspor will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final) and 12).
- Erokspor is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Manisa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Erokspor is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Manisa: Adekanye B.
(Red Card)
Lindseth J.
(Yellow Cards)
Talum Y.
(Yellow Cards)
- We predict that Erokspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Erokspor won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Erokspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Manisa FK?
Erokspor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Erokspor?
Manisa FK has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erokspor - Manisa FK were as follows:
20.09.2025
Manisa FK
-
Erokspor
3:4
08.03.2025
Erokspor
-
Manisa FK
1:1
28.10.2024
Manisa FK
-
Erokspor
0:1
Latest results of Erokspor
Latest results of Manisa FK
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 74:23 | 51 | 69 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 68:32 | 36 | 67 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 73:30 | 43 | 63 |
| 4 | Corum | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 53:34 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 67:35 | 32 | 57 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 54 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 42:33 | 9 | 48 |
| 8 | Keciorengucu | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 63:40 | 23 | 47 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | Igdir FK | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 40:44 | -4 | 45 |
| 11 | Vanspor FK | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:35 | 7 | 43 |
| 12 | Manisa FK | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 43 |
| 13 | Boluspor | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 50:44 | 6 | 42 |
| 14 | Umraniyespor | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 38:41 | -3 | 39 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 34:41 | -7 | 39 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:48 | -10 | 39 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 38:60 | -22 | 35 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 41:56 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 22:88 | -66 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 32 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17:141 | -124 | -57 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
