Result
3:4
20/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 6
- Referee: Kurt M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (197/259) | 88% (423/482) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (197/259) | 88% (423/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 48% (24/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (40/77) | 71% (67/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -2.11 | -1.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', 1 - 0, Suleyman B. ⚽,
- 18', 2 - 0, Talum Y. ⚽, Suleyman B. (A),
- 33', 2 - 1, Kanga G. (Pen),
- 39', Talum Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 54', Faye M. 🟨,
- 55', 3 - 1, Benrahou Y. (Pen),
- 58', Faye M. ↓, Lus B. ↑,
- 59', Karaman A. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
- 61', 3 - 2, Kayode O. ⚽, Amilton (A),
- 61', Karapo A. 🟨,
- 68', Kayode O. 🟨,
- 69', Diony L. ↓, Herelle C. ↑,
- 76', 3 - 3, Kayode O. ⚽, Lus B. (A),
- 80', Yurdakul K. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
- 83', Suleyman B. ↓, Yuce Y. ↑,
- 90', Kanga G. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
- 90', Korkmaz E. ↓, Jack R. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 4, Catakovic H. ⚽,
- 90+7', Kayode O. ↓, Yasar A. ↑,
- 90+10', Toure B. ↓, Inal F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Manisa FK
36.7% | Draw
28.5% | Erokspor
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Erokspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Manisa FK - Erokspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(2.72) |
3.4 ↑
(3.3) |
2.85 ↑
(2.42) |
3%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Erokspor?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Erokspor will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Recent performances by Manisa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Erokspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Manisa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Manisa: Cissokho M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Manisa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Erokspor?
Manisa FK has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Erokspor won against Manisa FK?
Erokspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Erokspor were as follows:
08.03.2025
Erokspor
-
Manisa FK
1:1
28.10.2024
Manisa FK
-
Erokspor
0:1
Latest results of Manisa FK
Latest results of Erokspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 2 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 4 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Pendikspor | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Vanspor FK | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sakaryaspor | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 9 |
| 17 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 18 | Sariyer | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:40 | -36 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
