Manisa FK vs Umraniyespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
12/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 20
  • Referee: Yilmaz A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.601.85
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
87
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
32
Passes
82% (380/461)82% (402/489)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
0.601.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.64
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
87
Shots off target
64
Blocked shots
02
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
86
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1013
Passes
82% (380/461)82% (402/489)
Long passes
49% (28/57)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
64% (61/95)70% (73/105)
Crosses
17% (3/18)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.73
Throw ins
2322
Fouls
1310
Tackles
82% (9/11)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4149
Clearances
1025
Interceptions
1212
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
77
xGOT faced
1.641.04
Goals prevented
1.640.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kiprit M. , Cissokho M. ,
  • 62', 1 - 0, Diony L. , Lindseth J. (A),
  • 63', Ekincier B. , Ozdemir T. ,
  • 63', Celik B. , Kosoko T. ,
  • 71', Karapo A. 🟨,
  • 71', Goksu S. , Hoti E. ,
  • 71', Bardhi J. , Babacan A. ,
  • 83', Benny , Soukou C. ,
  • 84', Karapo A. , Kahraman O. ,
  • 89', Glumac T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Karakus V. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Adekanye B. , Sen A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manisa FK
52.5%
Draw
24.8%
Umraniyespor
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 24.9% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 24.2% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Manisa FK - Umraniyespor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.78)
    3.66
    (3.65)
    4.08
    (3.83)
    9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Umraniyespor?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.5 - Manisa (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -2 - Umraniyespor (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Manisa FK will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 55.21%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 3 - 60%). Umraniyespor (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2.
    • Manisa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Umraniyespor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Manisa is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Umraniyespor: Saitoglu Y. (Suspended)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.3:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Umraniyespor were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Umraniyespor - Manisa FK 2:1
    10.05.2025 Umraniyespor - Manisa FK 0:1
    13.01.2025 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 0:3
    11.03.2024 Manisa FK - Umraniyespor 3:2
    22.10.2023 Umraniyespor - Manisa FK 3:2
    Latest results of Manisa FK
    26.12.2025 Sakaryaspor - Manisa FK 0:2
    07.12.2025 Manisa FK - Vanspor 2:1
    28.11.2025 Pendikspor - Manisa FK 2:0
    Latest results of Umraniyespor
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor35239379:245578
    2Amedspor35219577:364172
    3Erokspor352010579:334670
    4Corum35197955:371864
    5Bodrumspor35188969:363362
    6Pendikspor351513754:312358
    7Keciorengucu351412967:402754
    8Bandirmaspor3514111043:331053
    9Sivasspor3513111144:38650
    10Manisa FK351471450:54-449
    11Igdir FK351391347:48-148
    12Vanspor FK3512101348:40846
    13Sariyer351371541:41046
    14Umraniyespor351271642:44-243
    15Istanbulspor AS3510131243:52-943
    16Boluspor351261752:54-242
    17Serik Spor351061939:69-3036
    18Sakaryaspor35891844:62-1833
    19Hatayspor ✔ 35172727:96-6910
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 35133120:152-132-54

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Hatayspor is Relegated to
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to