Melbourne Storm vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby league Australian NRL Melbourne Storm - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
Result
16:18
19/07/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
australiaAustraliaFox League, Kayo Sports, NRL, Stan Sport
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix

Match Stats

Tries
33
Conversion Goals
21
Conversion Goal Attempts
34
Penalty Goals
02
Penalty Goal Attempts
02
Goals %
6750
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
182206
Metres Run With Ball
17011786

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 16)
  • 4', Garrick R. (Penalty Goal),
  • 15', Coates X. (Try),
  • 17', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 23', Saab J. (Try),
  • 24', Garrick R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 26', Koula T. (Try),
  • 28', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
  • 33', Garrick R. (Try),
  • 34', Garrick R. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 2)
  • 65', Coates X. (Try),
  • 66', Meaney N. (Missed Conversion),
  • 72', Coates X. (Try),
  • 74', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Garrick R. (Penalty Goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne Storm
71.1%
Draw
3.9%
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.4% 4% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 4.1% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Melbourne Storm - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.36)
    23.74
    (23)
    3.72
    (3.37)
    7.6%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)
  • What is the prediction for Melbourne Storm - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Melbourne will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Manly-Warringah will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 28:18.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 2.
    • Melbourne is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Manly-Warringah has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Manly-Warringah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 482:316. (average 24.1:15.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 190:103. (average 21.1:11.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Melbourne Storm 24:48
    24.05.2024 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Melbourne Storm 26:20
    24.06.2023 Melbourne Storm - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 24:6
    14.04.2023 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Melbourne Storm 18:8
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra Raiders22184606:43442
    2Melbourne Storm22175647:38940
    3Canterbury Bulldogs22157500:38636
    4New Zealand Warriors22148469:44334
    5Cronulla Sharks22139535:46832
    6Penrith Panthers22129532:42131
    7Brisbane Broncos21129566:45230
    8Sydney Roosters221111577:50528
    9Dolphins221012623:54226
    10Manly Sea Eagles221012488:48426
    11Wests Tigers21912411:51824
    12St. George Illawarra Dragons22814454:54822
    13Parramatta Eels22814410:54622
    14South Sydney Rabbitohs23914421:57222
    15NQ Cowboys22813474:61821
    16Newcastle Knights21615300:48618
    17Gold Coast Titans22517454:65516

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )