Result
6:48
25/04/2026 at 06:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NRL - Round 8
- Referee: Gee A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 50 | 60 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 151 | 199 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 1291 | 2049 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 24)
- 8', Johnston A. (Try),
- 10', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
- 22', Johnston A. (Try),
- 23', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Graham C. (Try),
- 27', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
- 29', Dufty M. (Try),
- 30', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
- 35', Duncan T. (Try),
- 36', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 24)
- 55', Aitken E. (Try),
- 56', Mitchell L. (Missed Conversion),
- 62', Duncan T. (Try),
- 63', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 66', Graham C. (Try),
- 68', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Mitchell L. (Penalty Goal),
- 69', Faalogo S. (Try),
- 70', Meaney N. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Duncan T. (Try),
- 79', Mitchell L. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Melbourne Storm
59.4% | Draw
4.5% | South Sydney Rabbitohs
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Storm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Storm than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.58) |
20.15 ↓
(22.41) |
2.61 ↑
(2.51) |
8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 52.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.
- Melbourne is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- South Sydney has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, South Sydney has had a series of home games.
- Melbourne is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 510:318. (average 25.5:15.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 277:164. (average 27.7:16.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Storm won against South Sydney Rabbitohs?
Melbourne Storm has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has South Sydney Rabbitohs won against Melbourne Storm?
South Sydney Rabbitohs has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Storm - South Sydney Rabbitohs were as follows:
21.06.2025
South Sydney Rabbitohs
-
Melbourne Storm
24:25
25.04.2025
Melbourne Storm
-
South Sydney Rabbitohs
24:16
08.08.2024
South Sydney Rabbitohs
-
Melbourne Storm
16:28
25.04.2024
Melbourne Storm
-
South Sydney Rabbitohs
54:20
06.05.2023
Melbourne Storm
-
South Sydney Rabbitohs
12:28
Latest results of Melbourne Storm
Latest results of South Sydney Rabbitohs
Australian NRL Table
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Penrith Panthers | 9 | 8 | 1 | 291:122 | 16 |
| 2 | New Zealand Warriors | 9 | 7 | 2 | 278:170 | 14 |
| 3 | Sydney Roosters | 8 | 6 | 2 | 253:202 | 14 |
| 4 | South Sydney Rabbitohs | 8 | 5 | 3 | 260:192 | 12 |
| 5 | Wests Tigers | 8 | 5 | 3 | 219:179 | 12 |
| 6 | NQ Cowboys | 9 | 6 | 3 | 239:227 | 12 |
| 7 | Manly Sea Eagles | 8 | 4 | 4 | 227:176 | 10 |
| 8 | Cronulla Sharks | 8 | 4 | 4 | 244:208 | 10 |
| 9 | Dolphins | 9 | 4 | 5 | 228:207 | 10 |
| 10 | Brisbane Broncos | 9 | 5 | 4 | 210:209 | 10 |
| 11 | Newcastle Knights | 9 | 5 | 4 | 232:262 | 10 |
| 12 | Canberra Raiders | 9 | 4 | 5 | 183:249 | 8 |
| 13 | Canterbury Bulldogs | 9 | 3 | 6 | 157:238 | 8 |
| 14 | Gold Coast Titans | 8 | 2 | 6 | 158:204 | 6 |
| 15 | Parramatta Eels | 9 | 3 | 6 | 194:315 | 6 |
| 16 | Melbourne Storm | 9 | 2 | 7 | 198:260 | 4 |
| 17 | St. George Illawarra Dragons | 8 | 0 | 8 | 114:265 | 0 |
Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )
