North Queensland Cowboys vs Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:38
16/04/2026 at 05:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NRL - Round 7
  • Referee: Sutton G. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFoxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL
franceFrancebeIN Sports 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ

Match Stats

Tries
16
Conversion goals
15
Conversion goal attempts
16
Penalty goals
02
Penalty goal attempts
02
Goals %
10088
Dropped goals
00
Dropped goal attempts
00
Total runs
172187
Metres run with ball
16361874

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (6 - 22)
  • 5', Hopoate L. (Try),
  • 7', Fogarty J. (Missed Conversion),
  • 17', Hopoate L. (Try),
  • 18', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 22', Hess C. (Try),
  • 23', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 28', Trbojevic B. (Try),
  • 30', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 37', Wakeham B. (Try),
  • 38', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 16)
  • 61', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 65', Paseka T. (Try),
  • 67', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 68', Brooks L. (Try),
  • 69', Fogarty J. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', Fogarty J. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


North Queensland Cowboys
57.5%
Draw
4.6%
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.5% 4% 35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 4% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Queensland Cowboys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.53)
    19.42
    (23.39)
    2.48
    (2.6)
    8.2%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North Queensland (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: North Queensland Cowboys will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 30:24.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 2.
    • North Queensland is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Manly-Warringah has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • North Queensland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 386:480. (average 19.3:24).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 176:257. (average 17.6:25.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles were as follows:
    17.05.2025 North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 6:24
    08.03.2025 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys 42:12
    06.07.2024 North Queensland Cowboys - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 20:21
    15.07.2023 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - North Queensland Cowboys 8:19
    Australian NRL Table
    Main
    PlWLPts
    1Penrith Panthers651206:7210
    2Wests Tigers541156:9210
    3New Zealand Warriors642194:1188
    4Manly Sea Eagles633178:1408
    5Newcastle Knights642154:1428
    6South Sydney Rabbitohs532144:1328
    7Canterbury Bulldogs532101:968
    8NQ Cowboys743165:1818
    9Sydney Roosters532115:1388
    10Cronulla Sharks633158:1526
    11Brisbane Broncos633133:1396
    12Dolphins523116:1426
    13Melbourne Storm624160:1584
    14Gold Coast Titans624126:1484
    15Canberra Raiders624115:1824
    16Parramatta Eels624124:2264
    17St. George Illawarra Dragons60686:1730

          Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )