Birmingham City vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Birmingham City - Mansfield Town
Result
4:0
27/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 45
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.28
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
91% (627/692)67% (165/246)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.790.24
Total shots
185
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
417
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
510
Passes
91% (627/692)67% (165/246)
Long passes
62% (31/50)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
81% (148/182)55% (36/66)
Crosses
16% (4/25)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.930.46
Throw-ins
2817
Fouls
105
Tackles
75% (9/12)70% (16/23)
Duels won
3465
Clearances
1833
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.242.79
Goals prevented
0.14-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Anderson K. , Willumsson W. T. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Willumsson W. T. , Stansfield J. (A),
  • 44', Craig M. , Reed L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Williams G. , Maris G. ,
  • 50', 3 - 0, Dowell K. , Paik Seung-Ho (A),
  • 57', 4 - 0, Iwata T. , Dowell K. (A),
  • 62', Rhodes J. , Waine B. ,
  • 68', Willumsson W. T. , Harris L. ,
  • 68', Laird E. , Gardner-Hickman T. ,
  • 68', Anderson K. , May A. ,
  • 68', Dowell K. , Jutkiewicz L. ,
  • 72', MacDonald C. , McLaughlin S. ,
  • 72', Boateng H. , Quinn S. ,
  • 79', Paik Seung-Ho , Leonard M. ,
  • 90+1', Waine B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Davies B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
69.2%
Draw
19.3%
Mansfield Town
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 23.8% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 22.7% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City's performance.
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Birmingham City - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.61)
    4.86
    (3.9)
    8.23
    (5.05)
    6%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Mansfield Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Birmingham (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 19).
    • Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    • Birmingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mansfield has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Mansfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Birmingham is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F. (Inactive) Gregory L. (Inactive) Oates R. (Inactive) Quinn B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K. (Injury) Hansson E. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Evans W. (Inactive) Lewis A. (Injury) MacDonald C. (Inactive) Quinn S. (Inactive)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Mansfield Town - Birmingham City 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two