Result
4:0
27/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 45
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (627/692) | 67% (165/246) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (627/692) | 67% (165/246) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (31/50) | 42% (25/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (148/182) | 55% (36/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.24 | 2.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Anderson K. ⚽, Willumsson W. T. (A),
- 39', 2 - 0, Willumsson W. T. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
- 44', Craig M. ↓, Reed L. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Williams G. ↓, Maris G. ↑,
- 50', 3 - 0, Dowell K. ⚽, Paik Seung-Ho (A),
- 57', 4 - 0, Iwata T. ⚽, Dowell K. (A),
- 62', Rhodes J. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
- 68', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
- 68', Laird E. ↓, Gardner-Hickman T. ↑,
- 68', Anderson K. ↓, May A. ↑,
- 68', Dowell K. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
- 72', MacDonald C. ↓, McLaughlin S. ↑,
- 72', Boateng H. ↓, Quinn S. ↑,
- 79', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
- 90+1', Waine B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Davies B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
69.2% | Draw
19.3% | Mansfield Town
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City's performance.Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Birmingham City - Mansfield Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.61) |
4.86 ↑
(3.9) |
8.23 ↑
(5.05) |
6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Mansfield Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Birmingham (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Birmingham City will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 19).
- Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
- Birmingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Mansfield has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Mansfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Birmingham is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Dykes L.
(Calf Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F.
(Inactive)
Gregory L.
(Inactive)
Oates R.
(Inactive)
Quinn B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K.
(Injury)
Hansson E.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Evans W.
(Inactive)
Lewis A.
(Injury)
MacDonald C.
(Inactive)
Quinn S.
(Inactive)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Mansfield Town?
Birmingham City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Birmingham City?
Mansfield Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Mansfield Town were as follows:
26.10.2024
Mansfield Town
-
Birmingham City
1:1
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Mansfield Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Mansfield | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Barnsley | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 11 | Northampton | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 10:12 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 |
| 13 | Wigan | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Luton | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 14 |
| 16 | Reading | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 | Rotherham | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 | Wycombe | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 20 | Exeter | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 21 | Plymouth | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 13 |
| 22 | Burton | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Peterborough | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 10 |
| 24 | Blackpool | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
