Birmingham City vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Birmingham City - Mansfield Town
Result
4:0
27/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 45
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.28
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
91% (627/692)67% (165/246)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.230.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.790.24
Total shots
185
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
417
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
510
Passes
91% (627/692)67% (165/246)
Long passes
62% (31/50)42% (25/60)
Passes in final third
81% (148/182)55% (36/66)
Crosses
16% (4/25)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.930.46
Throw-ins
2817
Fouls
105
Tackles
75% (9/12)70% (16/23)
Duels won
3465
Clearances
1833
Interceptions
27
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.242.79
Goals prevented
0.14-1.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Anderson K. , Willumsson W. T. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Willumsson W. T. , Stansfield J. (A),
  • 44', Craig M. , Reed L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Williams G. , Maris G. ,
  • 50', 3 - 0, Dowell K. , Paik Seung-Ho (A),
  • 57', 4 - 0, Iwata T. , Dowell K. (A),
  • 62', Rhodes J. , Waine B. ,
  • 68', Willumsson W. T. , Harris L. ,
  • 68', Laird E. , Gardner-Hickman T. ,
  • 68', Anderson K. , May A. ,
  • 68', Dowell K. , Jutkiewicz L. ,
  • 72', MacDonald C. , McLaughlin S. ,
  • 72', Boateng H. , Quinn S. ,
  • 79', Paik Seung-Ho , Leonard M. ,
  • 90+1', Waine B. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Davies B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
69.2%
Draw
19.3%
Mansfield Town
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 23.8% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 22.7% 17.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birmingham City's performance.
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birmingham City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Birmingham City - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.61)
    4.86
    (3.9)
    8.23
    (5.05)
    6%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Mansfield Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Birmingham (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.89%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 19).
    • Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    • Birmingham is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mansfield has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Mansfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Birmingham is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F. (Inactive) Gregory L. (Inactive) Oates R. (Inactive) Quinn B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K. (Injury) Hansson E. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Evans W. (Inactive) Lewis A. (Injury) MacDonald C. (Inactive) Quinn S. (Inactive)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Birmingham won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Mansfield Town - Birmingham City 1:1
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two