Mansfield Town vs Reading – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 26

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.650.54
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
72
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
136
Passes
72% (258/359)70% (260/373)
Yellow cards
02
Expected goals (xG)
0.650.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.770.06
Total shots
167
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
107
Shots outside the box
60
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
136
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
1010
Passes
72% (258/359)70% (260/373)
Long passes
25% (16/65)26% (23/88)
Passes in final third
56% (88/158)57% (44/77)
Crosses
21% (8/38)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.79
Throw ins
3032
Fouls
1010
Tackles
71% (5/7)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
2952
Interceptions
1317
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.060.77
Goals prevented
0.06-0.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Burns F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 65', Fraser L. , Lane P. ,
  • 66', Doyle K. , Ritchie M. ,
  • 67', Adeboyejo V. , Oates R. ,
  • 67', Russell J. , Hendry R. ,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Reed L. , Evans W. (A),
  • 74', Nyambe R. , Keane W. ,
  • 74', Ehibhatiomhan K. , Patton S. ,
  • 76', Hewitt E. , Bowery J. ,
  • 80', McLaughlin S. , Irow O. ,
  • 80', Abbott G. , Lewis A. ,
  • 84', Williams R. , Yiadom A. ,
  • 90+3', Wing L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
41.4%
Draw
28.7%
Reading
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 27.9% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.1% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Mansfield Town - Reading Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.4)
    3.27
    (3.25)
    3.12
    (2.65)
    6.2%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Reading?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Reading will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reading: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Reading (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Reading (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Postponed due to FA Cup.
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 9)
    • Mansfield is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Reading is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Reading may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Hendry R. (Inactive) Knoyle K. (Inactive) Maris G. (Inactive) Roberts T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Reading: Elliott B. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Bowery J. (Inactive) Gardner J. (Inactive) Hewitt E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Reading: Lane P. (Inactive) Williams D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mansfield won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Reading were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Reading - Mansfield Town 1:1
    21.04.2025 Mansfield Town - Reading 1:5
    29.12.2024 Reading - Mansfield Town 2:1
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Latest results of Reading
    07.03.2026 Luton Town - Reading 2:3
    28.02.2026 Reading - Bradford City 2:1
    21.02.2026 Port Vale - Reading 1:1
    17.02.2026 Reading - Bolton Wanderers 1:1
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two