Mansfield Town vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 16

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.011.02
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
277
Shots on target
103
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
190
Passes
78% (342/436)72% (231/321)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
3.011.02
xG on target (xGOT)
3.101.28
Total shots
277
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
90
Shots inside the box
215
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
190
Touches in opposition box
4116
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free kicks
89
Passes
78% (342/436)72% (231/321)
Long passes
45% (39/86)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
69% (101/146)56% (54/97)
Crosses
18% (9/50)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.91
Throw ins
2417
Fouls
98
Tackles
58% (7/12)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
1944
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
19
xGOT faced
1.283.10
Goals prevented
-0.722.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Russell J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', O'Brien-Brady D. , Khela B. ,
  • 51', Morgan J. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Morgan J. , Hayes C. (A),
  • 61', Cargill B. , McLaughlin S. ,
  • 61', Russell J. , Abbott G. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Leonard H. , Khela B. (A),
  • 68', Hendry R. , Oates R. ,
  • 68', Adeboyejo V. , Evans W. ,
  • 69', Hayes C. , Frith D. ,
  • 71', Abbott G. 🟨,
  • 78', Morgan J. , Sykut P. ,
  • 78', Leonard H. , Aderoju O. ,
  • 81', Hewitt E. , Irow O. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Abbott G. ,
  • 90+5', Lisbie K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
40.9%
Draw
26.8%
Peterborough United
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 24% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 24.7% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.
  • Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peterborough United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mansfield Town - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.85)
    3.53
    (3.85)
    2.9
    (3.52)
    6.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Peterborough will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 46.4%99%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Peterborough (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Mansfield (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 2 - 50%). Peterborough (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Recent performances by Mansfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peterborough is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mansfield is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Knee Injury) Cargill B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hayes C. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Injury) Nevett G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 3.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 3.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Peterborough United were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Mansfield Town - Peterborough United 4:2
    26.12.2024 Peterborough United - Mansfield Town 0:3
    26.09.2023 Mansfield Town - Peterborough United 3:2
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship