Mansfield Town vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 16

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.011.02
Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
277
Shots on target
103
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
190
Passes
78% (342/436)72% (231/321)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
3.011.02
xG on target (xGOT)
3.101.28
Total shots
277
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
90
Shots inside the box
215
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
190
Touches in opposition box
4116
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free kicks
89
Passes
78% (342/436)72% (231/321)
Long passes
45% (39/86)31% (22/71)
Passes in final third
69% (101/146)56% (54/97)
Crosses
18% (9/50)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.91
Throw ins
2417
Fouls
98
Tackles
58% (7/12)53% (9/17)
Duels won
4638
Clearances
1944
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
19
xGOT faced
1.283.10
Goals prevented
-0.722.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Russell J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', O'Brien-Brady D. , Khela B. ,
  • 51', Morgan J. 🟨,
  • 54', 0 - 1, Morgan J. , Hayes C. (A),
  • 61', Cargill B. , McLaughlin S. ,
  • 61', Russell J. , Abbott G. ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Leonard H. , Khela B. (A),
  • 68', Hendry R. , Oates R. ,
  • 68', Adeboyejo V. , Evans W. ,
  • 69', Hayes C. , Frith D. ,
  • 71', Abbott G. 🟨,
  • 78', Morgan J. , Sykut P. ,
  • 78', Leonard H. , Aderoju O. ,
  • 81', Hewitt E. , Irow O. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Abbott G. ,
  • 90+5', Lisbie K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
40.9%
Draw
26.8%
Peterborough United
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 24% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 24.7% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mansfield Town's form might have worsened.
  • Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Peterborough United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mansfield Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mansfield Town - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.85)
    3.53
    (3.85)
    2.9
    (3.52)
    6.6%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Peterborough will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 46.4%99%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Peterborough (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Mansfield (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 2 - 50%). Peterborough (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 8 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • Recent performances by Mansfield have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peterborough is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Peterborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mansfield is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L. (Knee Injury) Cargill B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Hayes C. (Knee Injury) Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mendy J. (Injury) Nevett G. (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 3.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 3.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Peterborough United were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Mansfield Town - Peterborough United 4:2
    26.12.2024 Peterborough United - Mansfield Town 0:3
    26.09.2023 Mansfield Town - Peterborough United 3:2
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two