Mansfield Town vs Peterborough United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Mansfield Town - Peterborough United
Result
4:2
30/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 42
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.60
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
75% (280/375)84% (474/563)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.290.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.971.33
Total shots
1810
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
117
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3425
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
75% (280/375)84% (474/563)
Long passes
34% (22/65)41% (19/46)
Passes in final third
61% (75/123)70% (77/110)
Crosses
24% (4/17)0% (0/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.51
Throw-ins
3024
Fouls
1510
Tackles
52% (11/21)65% (11/17)
Duels won
6154
Clearances
2222
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.332.97
Goals prevented
-0.67-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Maris G. , Dwyer D. (A),
  • 7', 2 - 0, Baccus K. , Bowery J. (A),
  • 34', 3 - 0, Evans W. , Reed L. (A),
  • 38', Oshilaja A. , Quinn S. ,
  • 42', Nevett G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 51', 3 - 1, De Havilland R. ,
  • 53', Hewitt E. , Flint A. ,
  • 59', 4 - 1, Evans W. , Quinn S. (A),
  • 65', Dornelly J. , Johnston C. ,
  • 65', Nevett G. , Wallin O. ,
  • 65', Conn-Clarke C. , Jones R.J. ,
  • 66', Mothersille M. , Mills H. ,
  • 68', Dwyer D. , Rhodes J. ,
  • 69', Maris G. , Vickers C. ,
  • 69', Dwyer D. , Boateng H. ,
  • 87', 4 - 2, Lindgren G. , Odoh A. (A),

Chances of winning


Mansfield Town
47.1%
Draw
24.2%
Peterborough United
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 25.7% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 24.6% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.
  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterborough United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mansfield Town - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.36)
    3.87
    (3.64)
    3.3
    (2.71)
    5.8%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Peterborough will win (votes: 8 - 38.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 17.3%58.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mansfield Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 19 and 17).
    • Mansfield has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Peterborough is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Peterborough could have advantage in physical - more days for rest in last days.
    • Mansfield will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Blake-Tracy F. (Inactive) Gregory L. (Inactive) Oates R. (Inactive) Quinn B. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Bilokapic N. (Inactive) Hayes C. (Injury) Susoho M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Craig M. (Injury) Evans W. (Inactive) Hewitt E. (Injury) Kilgour A. (Injury) Lewis A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Peterborough: Collins A. (Injury) Fernandez E. (Inactive) Wallin O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4 (average 3.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams, Mansfield won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4 (average 3.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Peterborough United were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Peterborough United - Mansfield Town 0:3
    26.09.2023 Mansfield Town - Peterborough United 3:2
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two