Result
1:1
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 29
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (235/341) | 66% (195/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (235/341) | 66% (195/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (13/60) | 38% (31/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (65/125) | 51% (41/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 35% (6/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | 0.93 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 16', Edwards J. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Pepple A. ⚽, Wiredu B. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Sweeney R. ⚽, Hendry R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bolton L. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
- 46', Lewis A. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 51', Akins L. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
- 59', Sorinola M. 🟨,
- 62', Sorinola M. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
- 73', Watts C. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
- 74', Hendry R. ↓, Moriah-Welsh N. ↑,
- 81', Oates R. ↓, Knoyle K. ↑,
- 86', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Blake-Tracy F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Plymouth Argyle
49.3% | Draw
25.5% | Mansfield Town
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.25) |
3.67 ↑
(3.29) |
3.7 ↑
(2.95) |
6.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 42.8% – 90.6%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Mansfield (1.97) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Mansfield (2.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- DC - Plymouth (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Plymouth Argyle will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 5 - 50%). Mansfield (votes: 5 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4.
- Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
- Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Plymouth is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Plymouth: Ibrahim B.
(Inactive)
MacKenzie J.
(Shin Injury)
Pleguezuelo J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Knoyle K.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Reed L.
(Red Card)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Plymouth: Dale O.
(Inactive)
Oseni O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Gardner J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Mansfield Town?
Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Plymouth Argyle?
Mansfield Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town were as follows:
28.10.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Plymouth Argyle
2:0
Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
Latest results of Mansfield Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
