Plymouth Argyle vs Mansfield Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 29
  • Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.750.36
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
73
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
62
Passes
69% (235/341)66% (195/294)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.750.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.88
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
44
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1413
Passes
69% (235/341)66% (195/294)
Long passes
22% (13/60)38% (31/81)
Passes in final third
52% (65/125)51% (41/80)
Crosses
38% (8/21)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.24
Throw ins
3529
Fouls
1314
Tackles
57% (13/23)35% (6/17)
Duels won
6361
Clearances
1839
Interceptions
710
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.881.93
Goals prevented
-0.120.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 16', Edwards J. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Pepple A. , Wiredu B. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Sweeney R. , Hendry R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Bolton L. , Hewitt E. ,
  • 46', Lewis A. , Russell J. ,
  • 51', Akins L. , Adeboyejo V. ,
  • 59', Sorinola M. 🟨,
  • 62', Sorinola M. , Amaechi X. ,
  • 73', Watts C. , Oseni O. ,
  • 74', Hendry R. , Moriah-Welsh N. ,
  • 81', Oates R. , Knoyle K. ,
  • 86', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Blake-Tracy F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Plymouth Argyle
49.3%
Draw
25.5%
Mansfield Town
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 27.9% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 28.6% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plymouth Argyle's performance.
  • Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mansfield Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plymouth Argyle that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mansfield Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (2.25)
    3.67
    (3.29)
    3.7
    (2.95)
    6.6%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Mansfield will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 42.8%90.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Mansfield (1.97) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Mansfield (2.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • DC - Plymouth (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plymouth Argyle will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 5 - 50%). Mansfield (votes: 5 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 14 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4.
    • Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
    • Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Plymouth is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Ibrahim B. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J. (Inactive) Knoyle K. (Inactive) Maris G. (Inactive) Reed L. (Red Card) Roberts T. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Dale O. (Inactive) Oseni O. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mansfield: Gardner J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Mansfield Town were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Mansfield Town - Plymouth Argyle 2:0
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Latest results of Mansfield Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship