Plymouth Argyle vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Home Park (Plymouth).

League One - Round 38
Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.96	0.86
Ball possession
44%	56%
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	7
Passes
57% (151/263)	58% (202/346)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.96	0.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	0.13
Total shots
11	11
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
5	8
Shots outside the box
6	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
20	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
8	16
Passes
57% (151/263)	58% (202/346)
Long passes
17% (11/63)	31% (24/77)
Passes in final third
45% (42/94)	35% (36/102)
Crosses
22% (5/23)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.70	0.25
Throw ins
31	32
Fouls
16	8
Tackles
36% (4/11)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
53	78
Clearances
55	33
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.13	1.32
Goals prevented
0.13	0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Freestone L. 🟨,
40', Mitchell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 0, Ross M. ⚽, Curtis R. (A),
64', Paterson J. ↓, Amaechi X. ↑,
77', Phillips M. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
78', Thompson L. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
78', White H. ↓, Houghton J. ↑,
79', Dale O. ↓, Oseni O. ↑,
79', MacKenzie J. ↓, Galloway B. ↑,
90', Kemp D. ↓, Brown L. ↑,
90', Piergianni C. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,
90+3', Kane H. ↓, Wiredu B. ↑,
90+3', Amaechi X. 🟨,
90+8', Reid J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Plymouth Argyle
40.9%

Draw
29.6%

Stevenage Borough
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.19)	3.16 ↑ (3.15)	3.17 ↑ (3.15)	6.7% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Stevenage (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Stevenage (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Stevenage (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Stevenage (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Plymouth Argyle will win (41 of 46 users predict this - 89.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.13% – 98.13%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Plymouth Argyle will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Plymouth (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Stevenage (votes: 4 - 23.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Recently, Plymouth has had a series of away games.
Plymouth could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Plymouth won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Plymouth won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Stevenage Borough?

Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against Plymouth Argyle?

Stevenage Borough has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Stevenage Borough were as follows:

01.01.2026 Stevenage Borough - Plymouth Argyle 1:1

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

14.03.2026 Reading - Plymouth Argyle 2:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Wigan Athletic - Plymouth Argyle 0:3 ✺

07.03.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Doncaster Rovers 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Rotherham United - Plymouth Argyle 1:0 ✺

24.02.2026 Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

14.03.2026 Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

10.03.2026 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Stockport County 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺

English League One Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	46	31	10	5	89:41	48	103
2	Cardiff ✔	46	27	10	9	90:50	40	91
3	Stockport County	46	22	11	13	71:58	13	77
4	Bradford City	46	22	11	13	58:51	7	77
5	Bolton ✔	46	19	18	9	70:52	18	75
6	Stevenage	46	21	12	13	49:46	3	75
7	Luton	46	21	11	14	68:56	12	74
8	Plymouth	46	22	7	17	75:63	12	73
9	Huddersfield	46	18	13	15	74:64	10	67
10	Mansfield	46	16	17	13	62:50	12	65
11	Wycombe	46	17	12	17	69:58	11	63
12	Reading	46	16	15	15	64:60	4	63
13	Blackpool	46	17	9	20	54:65	-11	60
14	Doncaster	46	17	9	20	50:69	-19	60
15	Barnsley	46	15	14	17	68:73	-5	59
16	Wigan	46	14	14	18	49:58	-9	56
17	Burton	46	13	15	18	50:60	-10	54
18	Peterborough	46	15	8	23	64:68	-4	53
19	AFC Wimbledon	46	15	8	23	51:72	-21	53
20	Leyton Orient	46	14	10	22	59:71	-12	52
21	Exeter	46	12	13	21	52:61	-9	49
22	Port Vale ✔	46	10	12	24	36:61	-25	42
23	Rotherham ✔	46	10	11	25	41:71	-30	41
24	Northampton ✔	46	9	8	29	39:74	-35	35

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two