Result
3:0
17/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 27
- Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (243/345) | 77% (358/462) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (243/345) | 77% (358/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (32/88) | 38% (33/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (74/117) | 58% (67/116) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Byers G. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
- 41', Cargill B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Cargill B. ↓, Russell J. ↑,
- 46', Moriah-Welsh N. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 0, Irow O. ⚽,
- 59', 2 - 0, Evans W. ⚽,
- 63', Croasdale R. ↓, Waine B. ↑,
- 63', Brown D. ↓, Stockley J. ↑,
- 63', Clark M. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 0, Irow O. ⚽, McLaughlin S. (A),
- 70', Sweeney R. 🟨,
- 76', Evans W. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
- 76', Oates R. ↓, Bolton L. ↑,
- 86', Reed L. ↓, Hendry R. ↑,
- 87', Headley J. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town
41.9% | Draw
27.5% | Port Vale
30.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1%)
Mansfield Town - Port Vale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.1) |
3.36 ↓
(3.61) |
3.04 ↓
(3.15) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Port Vale?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Port Vale will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Mansfield (3.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Port Vale (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 0.
- Mansfield is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Port Vale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mansfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mansfield could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Hendry R.
(Inactive)
Knoyle K.
(Inactive)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Port Vale: Garrity B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Gardner J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Port Vale?
Mansfield Town has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Mansfield Town?
Port Vale has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Port Vale were as follows:
20.09.2025
Port Vale
-
Mansfield Town
2:1
31.10.2023
Mansfield Town
-
Port Vale
0:1
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of Port Vale
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
