Libertad Loja vs Manta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne (Loja).

Liga Pro - Round 21
Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.86	0.09
Ball Possession
51%	49%
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
3	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
80% (306/382)	76% (280/370)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86	0.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.04	0.01
Total shots
13	5
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
5	1
Shots inside the Box
10	1
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
28	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	5
Free Kicks
7	12
Passes
80% (306/382)	76% (280/370)
Long passes
54% (29/54)	47% (33/70)
Passes in final third
71% (94/132)	48% (40/84)
Crosses
20% (4/20)	10% (2/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.18	0.35
Throw-ins
22	26
Fouls
12	7
Tackles
60% (9/15)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
51	43
Clearances
25	26
Interceptions
13	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.01	1.04
Goals prevented
0.01	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Ortiz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Ayovi W. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
74', Arboleda C. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
74', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
76', Cabezas D. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
76', Valencia D. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
80', Becerra K. 🟨,
86', 1 - 0, Avila D. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
89', Torres Nazareno L. B. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
89', Chala J. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
90', Bravo J. 🟨,
90+1', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
90+1', Monaga J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
90+3', Ramirez B. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
90+3', Avila D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Libertad Loja
52.7%

Draw
25%

Manta
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Loja's performance.

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Loja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Libertad Loja - Manta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.3)	3.72 ↑ (3.3)	4.2 ↑ (3.1)	6.6% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Manta?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 44.1% – 94.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
Libertad is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Manta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Libertad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Manta?

Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Libertad Loja?

Manta has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Manta were as follows:

30.03.2025 Manta - Libertad Loja 1:1

13.10.2022 Libertad Loja - Manta 0:0

31.08.2022 Manta - Libertad Loja 2:2

Latest results of Libertad Loja

16.07.2025 La Cantera - Libertad Loja 1:0 ✺

13.07.2025 Orense - Libertad Loja 0:1 ✺

04.07.2025 Libertad Loja - Deportivo Cuenca 2:1 ✺

20.06.2025 Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario 4:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Manta

12.07.2025 Manta - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 4:2 ✺

06.07.2025 El Nacional - Manta 1:0 ✺

23.06.2025 Manta - Orense 0:0 ✺

14.06.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Manta 1:2 ✺

30.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:2 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	25	15	8	2	45:20	25	53
2	Barcelona SC	26	14	5	7	38:29	9	47
3	LDU Quito	25	12	8	5	41:24	17	44
4	Dep. Cuenca	26	12	6	8	31:25	6	42
5	Libertad	26	11	8	7	40:34	6	41
6	Aucas	26	11	5	10	35:37	-2	38
7	Orense	25	11	5	9	27:29	-2	38
8	U. Catolica	25	9	9	7	46:33	13	36
9	Emelec	25	9	8	8	24:28	-4	35
10	Macara	26	7	9	10	25:27	-2	30
11	EL Nacional	25	7	7	11	30:35	-5	28
12	Delfin	25	6	10	9	24:37	-13	28
13	Tecnico U	25	6	7	12	24:35	-11	25
14	Manta	26	5	10	11	31:43	-12	25
15	Vinotinto	26	6	6	14	29:37	-8	24
16	Mushuc Runa ✔	26	5	5	16	28:45	-17	20

      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
      Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
      Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )