Result
1:0
21/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 21
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (306/382) | 76% (280/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (306/382) | 76% (280/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 47% (33/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (94/132) | 48% (40/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', Ayovi W. ↓, Avila D. ↑,
- 74', Arboleda C. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 74', Caicedo E. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 76', Cabezas D. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 76', Valencia D. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 80', Becerra K. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 0, Avila D. ⚽, Quinonez Y. (A),
- 89', Torres Nazareno L. B. ↓, Ortiz R. ↑,
- 89', Chala J. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 90', Bravo J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Bravo J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 90+1', Monaga J. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
- 90+3', Ramirez B. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
- 90+3', Avila D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Loja
52.7% | Draw
25% | Manta
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Libertad Loja's performance.Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Manta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Libertad Loja that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Libertad Loja - Manta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(2.3) |
3.72 ↑
(3.3) |
4.2 ↑
(3.1) |
6.6%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Libertad Loja - Manta?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Libertad: 44.1% – 94.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Libertad is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Manta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Libertad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Manta?
Libertad Loja has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Libertad Loja?
Manta has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Loja - Manta were as follows:
30.03.2025
Manta
-
Libertad Loja
1:1
13.10.2022
Libertad Loja
-
Manta
0:0
31.08.2022
Manta
-
Libertad Loja
2:2
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 40:22 | 18 | 43 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Aucas | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 7 | U. Catolica | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 34 |
| 8 | Libertad | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Emelec | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 31 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 30:41 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
