Result
1:0
11/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 8
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (212/268) | 87% (316/363) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.54 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (212/268) | 87% (316/363) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 54% (20/37) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (51/86) | 69% (60/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.54 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Jimenez J. 🟨,
- 19', Carabali F. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Davila E. ⚽,
- 31', Lemos L. 🟥,
- 45', Asagidigbi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Orejuela C. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 53', Angulo C. 🟨,
- 54', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 64', Carrillo R. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 65', Ramirez B. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 65', Chala J. 🟨,
- 73', Asagidigbi F. ↓, Alman J. ↑,
- 73', Beltramone E. ↓, Burbano S. ↑,
- 74', Angulo C. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
- 80', Moscarelli O. 🟨,
- 81', Jimenez J. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 81', Chala J. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 90+5', Velasco K. ↓, Minda T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
62.8% | Draw
23% | Manta
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Mushuc Runa - Manta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.51) |
4.03 ↑
(4) |
6.49 ↑
(6.27) |
8.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
- Mushuc Runa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Manta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Mushuc Runa is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Manta?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Mushuc Runa?
Manta has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Manta were as follows:
08.11.2025
Manta
-
Mushuc Runa
3:0
25.10.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Manta
1:1
30.08.2025
Mushuc Runa
-
Manta
2:0
10.05.2025
Manta
-
Mushuc Runa
2:1
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Tecnico U | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Delfin | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Macara | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Libertad | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | LDU Quito | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Aucas | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 9 |
| 13 | Orense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones del Norte | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Emelec | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Manta | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
