Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.39 | 2.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
56% | 44% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
70% (233/334) | 63% (159/254) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.39 | 2.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.85 | 2.77 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 36 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 18 |
Passes |
---|
70% (233/334) | 63% (159/254) |
Long passes |
---|
46% (32/69) | 41% (38/93) |
Passes in final third |
---|
61% (70/114) | 54% (68/126) |
Crosses |
---|
24% (4/17) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.19 | 1.22 |
Throw-ins |
---|
20 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
18 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
53% (8/15) | 81% (13/16) |
Duels won |
---|
63 | 63 |
Clearances |
---|
42 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.77 | 1.85 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.77 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', Delgado B. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 0, Valencia D. ⚽,
- 45+5', 2 - 0, Valencia D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alonso M. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 46', Peralta K. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
- 46', Cristobal R. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 46', Miranda B. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Penilla C. ⚽,
- 53', Zambrano J. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
- 56', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 70', Ortiz R. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
- 72', Angulo L. 🟨,
- 85', Aleman C. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 85', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 87', Valencia D. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
- 90+2', Cabezas D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Manta 41.9% | Draw 29% | Mushuc Runa 29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manta's performance.Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mushuc Runa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mushuc Runa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Manta - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↓ (2.93) |
3.24 ↑ (3.2) |
3.16 ↑ (2.38) |
7.7% (7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manta - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Manta might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Mushuc Runa?
Manta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Manta?
Mushuc Runa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 33:25 | 8 | 38 |
3 | LDU Quito | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:21 | 16 | 37 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 34 |
5 | Orense | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 34 |
6 | Libertad | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 33 |
7 | Aucas | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
8 | U. Catolica | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 34:28 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Delfin | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
10 | Emelec | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:24 | -8 | 25 |
11 | EL Nacional | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
12 | Vinotinto | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
13 | Manta | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
14 | Macara | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 19:21 | -2 | 22 |
15 | Mushuc Runa | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 17 |
16 | Tecnico U | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19:33 | -14 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )