Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (233/334) | 63% (159/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 2.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (233/334) | 63% (159/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (32/69) | 41% (38/93) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (70/114) | 54% (68/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.77 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', Delgado B. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
- 44', 1 - 0, Valencia D. ⚽,
- 45+5', 2 - 0, Valencia D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alonso M. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 46', Peralta K. ↓, Penilla C. ↑,
- 46', Cristobal R. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 46', Miranda B. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 1, Penilla C. ⚽,
- 53', Zambrano J. ↓, Ortiz M. ↑,
- 56', Quintero D. 🟨,
- 70', Ortiz R. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
- 72', Angulo L. 🟨,
- 85', Aleman C. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 85', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 87', Valencia D. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
- 90+2', Cabezas D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Manta
41.9% | Draw
29% | Mushuc Runa
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manta's performance.Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mushuc Runa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mushuc Runa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Manta - Mushuc Runa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.93) |
3.24 ↑
(3.2) |
3.16 ↑
(2.38) |
7.7%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Manta - Mushuc Runa?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Manta might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Mushuc Runa?
Manta has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Manta?
Mushuc Runa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Mushuc Runa were as follows:
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 11 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 12 | Macara | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
