Result
2:0
30/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 27
- Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (362/451) | 67% (203/304) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (362/451) | 67% (203/304) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 35% (24/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (66/104) | 59% (33/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Dos Santos J. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
- 44', Ospitaleche F. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Davila E. ↓, Arce L. ↑,
- 47', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 55', Valencia M. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 0, Peralta K. ⚽, Penilla C. (A),
- 64', Mina J. ↓, Zambrano J. ↑,
- 64', Cabezas D. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
- 69', Penilla C. ↓, Mina G. ↑,
- 82', Bentaberry B. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
- 82', Burbano R. ↓, Verges J. ↑,
- 85', Bartora G. ↓, Chala J. ↑,
- 85', Alman J. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 86', Orejuela C. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
54.7% | Draw
25.5% | Manta
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Mushuc Runa - Manta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.64) |
3.62 ↓
(3.92) |
4.73 ↑
(4.68) |
8.6%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )).
- Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mushuc Runa is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Manta?
Mushuc Runa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Mushuc Runa?
Manta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Manta were as follows:
10.05.2025
Manta
-
Mushuc Runa
2:1
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 50:20 | 30 | 59 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 42:26 | 16 | 45 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | U. Catolica | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Libertad | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Orense | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | EL Nacional | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | Macara | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26:28 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Delfin | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 29 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 29:38 | -9 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
