Manta vs Mushuc Runa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Manta - Mushuc Runa
Result
2:1
10/05/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.10
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
70% (233/334)63% (159/254)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.392.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.852.77
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1836
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1118
Passes
70% (233/334)63% (159/254)
Long passes
46% (32/69)41% (38/93)
Passes in final third
61% (70/114)54% (68/126)
Crosses
24% (4/17)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.191.22
Throw-ins
2017
Fouls
1811
Tackles
53% (8/15)81% (13/16)
Duels won
6363
Clearances
4231
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.771.85
Goals prevented
1.77-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 25', Delgado B. , Penilla C. ,
  • 44', 1 - 0, Valencia D. ,
  • 45+5', 2 - 0, Valencia D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Alonso M. , Tapiero S. ,
  • 46', Peralta K. , Penilla C. ,
  • 46', Cristobal R. , Mina G. ,
  • 46', Miranda B. , Simisterra R. ,
  • 47', 2 - 1, Penilla C. ,
  • 53', Zambrano J. , Ortiz M. ,
  • 56', Quintero D. 🟨,
  • 70', Ortiz R. , Zorrilla E. ,
  • 72', Angulo L. 🟨,
  • 85', Aleman C. , Cabezas D. ,
  • 85', Ospitaleche F. , Valencia M. ,
  • 87', Valencia D. , Castillo A. ,
  • 90+2', Cabezas D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Manta
41.9%
Draw
29%
Mushuc Runa
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 29.1% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9% 29.2% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manta's performance.
  • Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mushuc Runa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manta than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mushuc Runa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Manta - Mushuc Runa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.93)
    3.24
    (3.2)
    3.16
    (2.38)
    7.7%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Manta - Mushuc Runa?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Manta might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    Latest results of Manta
    02.05.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Manta 2:0
    26.04.2025 Manta - LDU Quito 1:1
    06.04.2025 Emelec - Manta 1:1
    Latest results of Mushuc Runa
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21127239:192043
    2Barcelona SC21115533:25838
    3LDU Quito21107437:211637
    4Dep. Cuenca21104726:20634
    5Orense21104724:24034
    6Libertad2196631:26533
    7Aucas2195728:26232
    8U. Catolica2177734:28628
    9Delfin2168720:29-926
    10Emelec2167816:24-825
    11EL Nacional2166924:30-624
    12Vinotinto21651026:29-323
    13Manta2158827:34-723
    14Macara2157919:21-222
    15Mushuc Runa21451224:38-1417
    16Tecnico U21371119:33-1416

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )