Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (231/287) | 89% (516/581) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 3.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (231/287) | 89% (516/581) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (31/55) | 47% (15/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (54/79) | 74% (96/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 48 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.11 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Borrelli G. ⚽, Corrado N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Verreth M. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Brignani F. ⚽, Fiori A. (A),
- 55', Calvani G. 🟨,
- 63', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
- 64', Burrai S. 🟨,
- 66', Galuppini F. ↓, Muroni M. ↑,
- 66', Fiori A. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 70', Moncini G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 70', Nuamah P. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
- 71', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 84', Lezzerini L. 🟨,
- 85', Mancuso L. (Pen),
- 87', Dickmann L. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 87', Bisoli D. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
- 88', Mancuso L. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 88', Burrai S. ↓, Artioli F. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Radaelli N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Brescia
44.2% | Draw
28.2% | Mantova
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Brescia - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.11) |
3.31 ↑
(3.3) |
3.39 ↓
(3.4) |
6.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brescia - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Brescia (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Recent matches Brescia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Mantova is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Brescia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brescia: Adorni D.
(Yellow Cards)
Besaggio M.
(Yellow Cards)
Fogliata R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mantova: Burrai S.
(Yellow Cards)
Fedel G.
(Inactive)
Muroni M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Brescia: Bjarnason B.
(Inactive)
Galazzi N.
(Injury)
Olzer G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Bani C.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Mantova?
Brescia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Brescia?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brescia - Mantova were as follows:
06.10.2024
Mantova
-
Brescia
1:1
12.08.2023
Mantova
-
Brescia
3:0
Latest results of Brescia
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
