Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 32
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.86 |
Ball Possession |
---|
34% | 66% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
80% (231/287) | 89% (516/581) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.19 | 1.86 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.83 | 3.11 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 26 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
80% (231/287) | 89% (516/581) |
Long passes |
---|
56% (31/55) | 47% (15/32) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (54/79) | 74% (96/130) |
Crosses |
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33% (6/18) | 15% (2/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.92 | 1.33 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
35% (6/17) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 48 |
Clearances Total |
---|
13 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.11 | 1.83 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.11 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Borrelli G. ⚽, Corrado N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Verreth M. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 1, Brignani F. ⚽, Fiori A. (A),
- 55', Calvani G. 🟨,
- 63', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
- 64', Burrai S. 🟨,
- 66', Galuppini F. ↓, Muroni M. ↑,
- 66', Fiori A. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 70', Moncini G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
- 70', Nuamah P. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
- 71', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 84', Lezzerini L. 🟨,
- 85', Mancuso L. (Pen),
- 87', Dickmann L. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 87', Bisoli D. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
- 88', Mancuso L. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 88', Burrai S. ↓, Artioli F. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Radaelli N. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Brescia 44.2% | Draw 28.2% | Mantova 27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Brescia - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↑ (2.11) |
3.31 ↑ (3.3) |
3.39 ↓ (3.4) |
6.7% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Brescia - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Recent matches Brescia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Mantova is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Brescia will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Brescia: Adorni D.
(Yellow Cards)
Besaggio M.
(Yellow Cards)
Fogliata R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mantova: Burrai S.
(Yellow Cards)
Fedel G.
(Inactive)
Muroni M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Brescia: Bjarnason B.
(Inactive)
Galazzi N.
(Injury)
Olzer G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mantova: Bani C.
(Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
How many head-to-head matches has Brescia won against Mantova?
Brescia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Brescia?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brescia - Mantova were as follows:
06.10.2024
Mantova
-
Brescia
1:1
12.08.2023
Mantova
-
Brescia
3:0
Latest results of Brescia
Latest results of Mantova
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |