Result
0:3
25/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 36
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (235/334) | 81% (426/527) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (235/334) | 81% (426/527) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (25/62) | 27% (21/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (67/124) | 64% (88/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.43 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.82 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 35', 0 - 1, Trimboli S. ⚽, Benaissa-Yahia F. (A),
- 41', Masiello A. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Marras T. ⚽, Castellini A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tonin R. ↓, Merkaj S. ↑,
- 46', Odogwu R. ↓, Pecorino E. ↑,
- 56', Masiello A. ↓, El Kaouakibi H. ↑,
- 56', Martini J. ↓, Frigerio M. R. ↑,
- 63', Ruocco F. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
- 63', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Radaelli N. ↑,
- 70', Merkaj S. 🟨,
- 72', Kouda R. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 72', Marras T. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
- 72', Tait F. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
- 82', Mancuso L. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 3, Wieser D. ⚽,
- 84', Wieser D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
34.2% | Draw
34.2% | Mantova
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Südtirol-Alto Adige's form might have worsened.Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mantova's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mantova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.01) |
2.82 ↓
(3.45) |
2.99 ↓
(3.55) |
5.8%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Mantova (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mantova (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 2.
- Südtirol is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mantova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Südtirol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Cragno A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
El Kaouakibi H.
(Inactive)
Kofler R.
(Inactive)
Zedadka K.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Mantova: Bonfanti N.
(Ankle Injury)
Mensah D.
(Injury)
Meroni A.
(Inactive)
Muci N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Mantova?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Mantova has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Mantova were as follows:
18.10.2025
Mantova
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:1
29.03.2025
Mantova
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
2:0
14.12.2024
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Mantova
2:2
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
