Result
0:1
21/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 17
- Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (419/499) | 78% (280/357) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (419/499) | 78% (280/357) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (28/57) | 36% (16/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (118/156) | 65% (68/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 1.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Wieser D. 🟨,
- 37', Pellegri P. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
- 39', Guarino G. 🟨,
- 41', Falletti C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Mensah D. 🟨,
- 63', Elia S. 🟨,
- 67', 0 - 1, Nasti M. ⚽,
- 67', Nasti M. 🟨,
- 69', Ceesay J. ↓, Carboni F. ↑,
- 69', Ilie R. ↓, Ignacchiti L. ↑,
- 69', Elia S. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
- 69', Caprini M. ↓, Fiori A. ↑,
- 70', Wieser D. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
- 70', Mensah D. ↓, Mancuso L. ↑,
- 79', Ghion A. ↓, Konate I. ↑,
- 81', Falletti C. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 88', Trimboli S. 🟨,
- 89', Maggioni T. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/bdd5vfsk
Chances of winning
Mantova
37.1% | Draw
30% | Empoli
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Mantova - Empoli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↓
(2.65) |
3.13 ↑
(3.09) |
2.84 ↑
(2.7) |
6.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mantova - Empoli?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 27.4% – 68.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Mantova (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mantova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Mantova: Majer Z.
(Inactive)
Mantovani V.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Empoli: Curto M.
(Thigh Injury)
Ebuehi T.
(Chest Injury)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Lovato M.
(Injury)
Saporiti E.
(Injury)
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Empoli?
Mantova has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Mantova?
Empoli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mantova - Empoli were as follows:
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
