Mantova vs Empoli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/12/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 17
  • Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.58
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
84% (419/499)78% (280/357)
Yellow Cards
43
Expected Goals (xG)
1.090.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.110.61
Total shots
156
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
40
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3124
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
84% (419/499)78% (280/357)
Long passes
49% (28/57)36% (16/45)
Passes in final third
76% (118/156)65% (68/105)
Crosses
30% (6/20)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.371.41
Throw-ins
2219
Fouls
1715
Tackles
59% (13/22)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5658
Clearances
2332
Interceptions
010
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.611.11
Goals prevented
-0.391.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 32', Wieser D. 🟨,
  • 37', Pellegri P. , Nasti M. ,
  • 39', Guarino G. 🟨,
  • 41', Falletti C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 63', Mensah D. 🟨,
  • 63', Elia S. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 1, Nasti M. ,
  • 67', Nasti M. 🟨,
  • 69', Ceesay J. , Carboni F. ,
  • 69', Ilie R. , Ignacchiti L. ,
  • 69', Elia S. , Haas N. ,
  • 69', Caprini M. , Fiori A. ,
  • 70', Wieser D. , Paoletti F. ,
  • 70', Mensah D. , Mancuso L. ,
  • 79', Ghion A. , Konate I. ,
  • 81', Falletti C. , Bragantini D. ,
  • 88', Trimboli S. 🟨,
  • 89', Maggioni T. , Marras T. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdd5vfsk

Chances of winning


Mantova
37.1%
Draw
30%
Empoli
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 30.2% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5% 29.6% 35.3%

Mantova - Empoli Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.54
(2.65)
3.13
(3.09)
2.84
(2.7)
6.5%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mantova - Empoli?
  • Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Mantova will win (votes: 11 - 47.8%). Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 21.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mantova: 27.4%68.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Mantova (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mantova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Mantova: Majer Z. (Inactive) Mantovani V. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Empoli: Curto M. (Thigh Injury) Ebuehi T. (Chest Injury)
    • There are questionable in Empoli: Lovato M. (Injury) Saporiti E. (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mantova
    13.12.2025 Cesena - Mantova 3:2
    08.12.2025 Mantova - Reggiana 0:1
    29.11.2025 Venezia - Mantova 3:0
    23.11.2025 Mantova - Spezia 4:1
    08.11.2025 Mantova - Padova 1:0
    Latest results of Empoli
    13.12.2025 Juve Stabia - Empoli 2:0
    07.12.2025 Empoli - Palermo 1:3
    29.11.2025 Empoli - Bari 5:0
    22.11.2025 Avellino - Empoli 0:3
    08.11.2025 Empoli - Catanzaro 1:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia24155446:222450
    2Monza23145436:191747
    3Frosinone23137341:212046
    4Palermo24129339:192045
    5Catanzaro24108632:26638
    6Modena24107731:191237
    7Cesena24114932:30237
    8Juve Stabia23811427:26135
    9Carrarese2479831:33-230
    10Sudtirol23611624:23129
    11Padova2478925:30-529
    12Empoli2377928:31-328
    13Avellino2377928:37-928
    14Sampdoria24681026:32-626
    15Entella24510923:31-825
    16Reggiana24661226:34-824
    17Mantova24651324:38-1423
    18Spezia23561220:30-1021
    19Bari23481119:36-1720
    20Pescara24291327:48-2115

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation