Result
2:2
14/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 30
- Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.30 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (368/464) | 72% (242/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.30 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (368/464) | 72% (242/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/63) | 33% (21/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (88/122) | 62% (69/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (13/35) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 21', 0 - 1, Bragantini D. ⚽, Trimboli S. (A),
- 37', 0 - 2, Cella S. ⚽,
- 44', Magnino L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Ilie R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Benaissa-Yahia F. ↓, Goncalves T. ↑,
- 46', Ilie R. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
- 46', Obaretin N. ↓, Moruzzi B. ↑,
- 49', Bragantini D. 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 2, Shpendi S. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
- 57', Bragantini D. ↓, Marras T. ↑,
- 57', Buso N. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
- 67', Mancuso L. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 72', Ceesay J. ↓, Saporiti E. ↑,
- 72', Candela A. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
- 80', Magnino L. ↓, Haas N. ↑,
- 84', Bardi F. 🟨,
- 84', 2 - 2, Saporiti E. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
- 88', Radaelli N. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 90+6', Nasti M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Empoli
46.3% | Draw
28.5% | Mantova
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+1%)
Empoli - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.98) |
3.26 ↓
(3.5) |
3.72 ↑
(3.56) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Empoli - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Mantova will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Empoli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- Empoli is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mantova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Empoli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Empoli: Ghion A.
(Inactive)
Pellegri P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C.
(Injury)
Bonfanti N.
(Inactive)
Ligue J.
(Inactive)
Muci N.
(Inactive)
Ruocco F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Empoli: Popov B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Empoli won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Empoli won against Mantova?
Empoli has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Empoli?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Empoli - Mantova were as follows:
21.12.2025
Mantova
-
Empoli
0:1
Latest results of Mantova
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
