Result
3:0
18/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Oluoch F. ⚽,
- 30', 2 - 0, Musa S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 85', 3 - 0, Kappen S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Gor Mahia
51.7% | Draw
31.1% | Mara Sugar
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gor Mahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gor Mahia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.63) |
2.9 ↓
(3.2) |
5.24 ↓
(5.98) |
10.9%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 13).
- Gor Mahia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mara Sugar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Gor Mahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Gor Mahia is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).
- Including home match between the teams, Gor Mahia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Gor Mahia won against Mara Sugar?
Gor Mahia has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Gor Mahia?
Mara Sugar has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar were as follows:
27.04.2025
Gor Mahia
-
Mara Sugar
4:0
30.11.2024
Mara Sugar
-
Gor Mahia
0:2
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
