Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar
Result
4:0
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Musa S. ,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Morrison E. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', 3 - 0, Musa S. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Gor Mahia
57.8%
Draw
26.5%
Mara Sugar
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.4% 28.2% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 27.4% 16.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.68)
    3.45
    (3.24)
    5.84
    (5.26)
    9.4%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 14).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Mara Sugar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Gor Mahia is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Gor Mahia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Mara Sugar - Gor Mahia 0:2
    Latest results of Gor Mahia
    24.04.2025 Gor Mahia - Talanta 0:1
    19.04.2025 Sofapaka - Gor Mahia 1:1
    06.04.2025 Kenya CB - Gor Mahia Postponed
    30.03.2025 AFC Leopards - Gor Mahia 0:0
    15.03.2025 Gor Mahia - Bandari 2:0
    Latest results of Mara Sugar
    19.04.2025 Mara Sugar - Kenya CB 1:1
    06.04.2025 Mara Sugar - Tusker 1:1
    16.03.2025 Mara Sugar - Bidco United 0:0
    01.03.2025 Sofapaka - Mara Sugar 1:1
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shabana32106:337
    2Posta Rangers32106:427
    3Gor Mahia32013:126
    4Bidco United22002:026
    5KCB42023:216
    6Ulinzi Stars41212:205
    7Kariobangi Sharks41212:205
    8Bandari31113:214
    9Kakamega Homeboyz21101:014
    10Police FC21101:014
    11Mara Sugar31112:204
    12Mathare Utd41123:4-14
    13Nairobi United21011:103
    14Muranga31023:4-13
    15Leopards20203:302
    16Tusker40222:5-32
    17Sofapaka30121:4-31
    18APS Bomet30032:7-50

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