Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
18/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Oluoch F. ,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Musa S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 85', 3 - 0, Kappen S. ,

Chances of winning


Gor Mahia
51.7%
Draw
31.1%
Mara Sugar
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 28.6% 15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 27.2% 14.6%

Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.74
(1.63)
2.9
(3.2)
5.24
(5.98)
10.9%
(9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
  • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 and 13).
  • Gor Mahia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Mara Sugar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Gor Mahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Gor Mahia is seen as the favorite.
  • We predict that Gor Mahia will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gor Mahia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).
  • Including home match between the teams, Gor Mahia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar were as follows:
27.04.2025 Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar 4:0
30.11.2024 Mara Sugar - Gor Mahia 0:2
Latest results of Gor Mahia
Latest results of Mara Sugar
14.01.2026 Police FC - Mara Sugar 1:1
10.01.2026 APS Bomet - Mara Sugar 1:1
22.12.2025 Mara Sugar - Muranga Seal 1:3
17.12.2025 Shabana - Mara Sugar 0:0
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Gor Mahia19124331:131840
2Leopards18106223:111236
3Shabana1987423:18531
4Muranga1986525:19630
5Police FC1978415:13229
6Kakamega Homeboyz1877425:20528
7KCB1984720:19128
8Tusker1984717:19-228
9Bandari1969415:12327
10Nairobi United1774621:19225
11Posta Rangers1959517:22-524
12Mathare Utd1964912:17-522
13Mara Sugar1949616:19-321
14APS Bomet1946921:27-618
15Ulinzi Stars19451016:21-517
16Kariobangi Sharks1938811:21-1017
17Bidco United1937911:18-716
18Sofapaka19351112:23-1114

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Super League