Result
2:0
18/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
Chances of winning
Kariobangi Sharks
38.5% | Draw
32.4% | Mara Sugar
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kariobangi Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kariobangi Sharks's performance.Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mara Sugar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kariobangi Sharks than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kariobangi Sharks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mara Sugar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kariobangi Sharks - Mara Sugar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.8) |
2.81 ↑
(2.75) |
3.12 ↑
(2.65) |
10%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Kariobangi Sharks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Kariobangi Sharks has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kariobangi Sharks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Kariobangi Sharks won against Mara Sugar?
Kariobangi Sharks has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Kariobangi Sharks?
Mara Sugar has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kariobangi Sharks - Mara Sugar were as follows:
13.12.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Kariobangi Sharks
2:0
14.12.2024
Mara Sugar
-
Kariobangi Sharks
1:0
Latest results of Kariobangi Sharks
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45:19 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
