Result
1:1
01/04/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', 1 - 0, Wangaya K. ⚽,
- 88', 1 - 1, Imbusia A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nairobi United
40.6% | Draw
32.1% | Mara Sugar
27.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nairobi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Nairobi United - Mara Sugar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.31) |
2.88 ↓
(2.92) |
3.4 ↑
(3.16) |
7.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Nairobi United - Mara Sugar?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nairobi United will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Mara Sugar will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nairobi United: 23.1% – 88.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13).
- Nairobi United has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mara Sugar is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nairobi United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Mara Sugar has had a series of away games.
- Nairobi United could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nairobi United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nairobi United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nairobi United won against Mara Sugar?
Nairobi United has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Nairobi United?
Mara Sugar has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nairobi United - Mara Sugar were as follows:
01.10.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Nairobi United
0:1
01.06.2025
Nairobi United
-
Mara Sugar
2:1
02.06.2024
Mara Sugar
-
Nairobi United
1:0
16.12.2023
Nairobi United
-
Mara Sugar
0:2
Latest results of Nairobi United
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 64 |
| 2 | Leopards | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 36:22 | 14 | 55 |
| 3 | Police FC | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 48 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 43:31 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Shabana | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 47 |
| 6 | Nairobi United | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | KCB | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 41 |
| 8 | Tusker | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 24:27 | -3 | 41 |
| 9 | Mara Sugar | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Bandari | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | Muranga | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 28:31 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 24:36 | -12 | 32 |
| 14 | APS Bomet | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 29:33 | -4 | 31 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 31 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 19:30 | -11 | 30 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 17:39 | -22 | 18 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
