Result
2:3
28/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa do Nordeste - Round 2
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 12', 0 - 1, Carlinhos ⚽,
- 21', Luan 🟨,
- 30', Lucas Black 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, Pedrinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Vagalume ↓, Luis Gustavo ↑,
- 46', Will ↓, Rafael Teixeira ↑,
- 46', Felipe Sales ↓, Pimentinha ↑,
- 46', Rodrigo ↓, Rosivan ↑,
- 52', 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 2, Andre Radija (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', 1 - 3, Carlinhos ⚽,
- 68', Luan ↓, Fernando Portel ↑,
- 68', Felipe Cruz ↓, Jorge Rocha ↑,
- 71', 2 - 3, Jorge Rocha ⚽,
- 74', Railson 🟨,
- 77', Tiago Santana 🟨,
- 84', Camilo ↓, Pablo Maldini ↑,
- 88', Mena Y. ↓, Paulo Ricardo ↑,
Chances of winning
Maranhão
40.2% | Draw
30.1% | Ferroviário Fortaleza
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maranhão's form might have worsened.Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviário Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maranhão, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviário Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(1.75) |
3.2 ↓
(3.31) |
3.24 ↓
(4.47) |
2.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Maranhão is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ferroviário's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Maranhão may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ferroviário has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Maranhão is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maranhão won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Maranhão won against Ferroviário Fortaleza?
Maranhão has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviário Fortaleza won against Maranhão?
Ferroviário Fortaleza has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza were as follows:
28.02.2024
Maranhão
-
Ferroviário Fortaleza
1:2
03.09.2023
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Maranhão
2:1
27.08.2023
Maranhão
-
Ferroviário Fortaleza
1:1
14.06.2023
Ferroviário Fortaleza
-
Maranhão
3:1
11.06.2023
Maranhão
-
Ferroviário Fortaleza
1:1
Latest results of Maranhão
Latest results of Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste Table
2026Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Vitoria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Sousa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Fluminense-PI | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Itabaiana | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Confianca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Juazeirense | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Botafogo PB | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Piaui | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 5 | CRB | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sport Recife | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Ferroviario | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Ceara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | America RN | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 5 | Imperatriz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Retro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | ABC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Jacuipense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 5 | Maranhao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion
