Mérida AD vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Mérida AD - Marbella
Result
4:2
19/01/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
76
Shots on Goal
63
Shots off Goal
13
Corner Kicks
30
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Yellow Cards
46
Red Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Eslava J. ,
  • 34', Duarte J. 🟨,
  • 45', Bonaque M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Beneit R. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 1, Callejon J. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 48', Punal A. 🟨,
  • 53', Beltran L. (Pen),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Beltran L. ,
  • 55', Bernardo 🟨,
  • 57', Hanza D. 🟨,
  • 63', Jimenez N. , Busi ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Hanza D. ,
  • 70', Ganet P. , Athuman I. ,
  • 70', Bonaque M. , Prevedini M. ,
  • 71', Punal A. , Alvarez J. ,
  • 73', Bernardo 🟨,
  • 75', 3 - 2, Eslava J. ,
  • 76', Martin D. 🟨,
  • 78', Duarte J. , Du Yuezheng ,
  • 80', Beneit R. , Alvaro J. ,
  • 80', Beltran L. , Falcon E. ,
  • 82', Olguin M. 🟥,
  • 84', Athuman I. 🟨,
  • 88', Soto A. , Pena M. ,
  • 88', Ohemeng E. , Alayeto I. ,
  • 88', Acosta L. , Diori Y. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Eslava J. ,
  • 90+3', Eslava J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
42.6%
Draw
29.6%
Marbella
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.6% 26.6% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1% 25.8% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mérida AD, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Mérida AD - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.93)
    2.98
    (3.45)
    3.23
    (3.56)
    12%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Mérida AD will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Marbella were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Marbella - Mérida AD 1:0
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Marbella
    12.01.2025 Marbella - Alcorcón 3:3
    14.12.2024 Marbella - Betis B 2:2
    08.12.2024 Villarreal B - Marbella 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3