Real Madrid Castilla vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, Real Madrid TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
310
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
310
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Jimenez D. ,
  • 32', Andres C. 🟨,
  • 34', Awudu T. , Soto A. ,
  • 38', Ribes K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Garcia G. , Fortuny P. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 1, Callejon J. ,
  • 62', Pena M. , Duarte J. ,
  • 62', Bernardo , Fornes G. ,
  • 62', Edwards R. , Zequi ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ,
  • 74', Zuniga L. , Valdepenas V. ,
  • 74', Yusi , Campos A. ,
  • 74', Andres C. , Antonio David ,
  • 76', Puerto E. 🟨,
  • 79', Antonio David 🟨,
  • 81', Olguin M. , Munoz P. ,
  • 82', Fortuny P. , Palacios C. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Soto A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
54%
Draw
25.7%
Marbella
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.2% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 25.8% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.64)
    3.6
    (3.64)
    4.54
    (4.94)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marbella will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Recent performances by Real Madrid Castilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marbella is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Marbella
    19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1
    12.04.2025 Marbella - Ibiza 2:1
    05.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Marbella 1:1
    29.03.2025 Sevilla B - Marbella 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell291412340:152554
    2Atl. Madrid B29149643:261751
    3Eldense291311541:281350
    4CE Europa291211643:34947
    5Villarreal B291111738:251344
    6Teruel29119922:23-142
    7Antequera291181033:32141
    8Algeciras291181030:30041
    9Alcorcon29913727:25240
    10Hercules291010933:32140
    11FC Cartagena SAD291010925:28-340
    12Torremolinos29912837:37039
    13UD Ibiza291081130:28238
    14Murcia29991126:29-336
    15Tarazona298101123:30-734
    16Gimnastic29971331:39-834
    17Marbella29771524:35-1128
    18Betis B29771532:48-1628
    19Sanluqueno29761625:42-1727
    20Sevilla FC B294101515:32-1722

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