Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Spain | FEF TV, Real Madrid TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Jimenez D. ⚽,
- 32', Andres C. 🟨,
- 34', Awudu T. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 38', Ribes K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 56', 2 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽, Fortuny P. (A),
- 58', 2 - 1, Callejon J. ⚽,
- 62', Pena M. ↓, Duarte J. ↑,
- 62', Bernardo ↓, Fornes G. ↑,
- 62', Edwards R. ↓, Zequi ↑,
- 65', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ⚽,
- 74', Zuniga L. ↓, Valdepenas V. ↑,
- 74', Yusi ↓, Campos A. ↑,
- 74', Andres C. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
- 76', Puerto E. 🟨,
- 79', Antonio David 🟨,
- 81', Olguin M. ↓, Munoz P. ↑,
- 82', Fortuny P. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 85', Alvarez J. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Soto A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Madrid Castilla 54% | Draw 25.7% | Marbella 20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.64) |
3.6 ↓ (3.64) |
4.54 ↓ (4.94) |
8.3% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marbella will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
- Recent performances by Real Madrid Castilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marbella is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Marbella?
Real Madrid Castilla has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marbella won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Marbella has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella were as follows:
24.08.2024
Marbella
-
Real Madrid Castilla
1:0
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Latest results of Marbella
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabadell | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 40:15 | 25 | 54 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid B | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 51 |
| 3 | Eldense | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 41:28 | 13 | 50 |
| 4 | CE Europa | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 43:34 | 9 | 47 |
| 5 | Villarreal B | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 38:25 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Teruel | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 42 |
| 7 | Antequera | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 33:32 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 30:30 | 0 | 41 |
| 9 | Alcorcon | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Hercules | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | FC Cartagena SAD | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Torremolinos | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 39 |
| 13 | UD Ibiza | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 30:28 | 2 | 38 |
| 14 | Murcia | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 26:29 | -3 | 36 |
| 15 | Tarazona | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 23:30 | -7 | 34 |
| 16 | Gimnastic | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 34 |
| 17 | Marbella | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 24:35 | -11 | 28 |
| 18 | Betis B | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32:48 | -16 | 28 |
| 19 | Sanluqueno | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 27 |
| 20 | Sevilla FC B | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 15:32 | -17 | 22 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation