Real Madrid Castilla vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, Real Madrid TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
310
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
310
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Jimenez D. ,
  • 32', Andres C. 🟨,
  • 34', Awudu T. , Soto A. ,
  • 38', Ribes K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Garcia G. , Fortuny P. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 1, Callejon J. ,
  • 62', Pena M. , Duarte J. ,
  • 62', Bernardo , Fornes G. ,
  • 62', Edwards R. , Zequi ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ,
  • 74', Zuniga L. , Valdepenas V. ,
  • 74', Yusi , Campos A. ,
  • 74', Andres C. , Antonio David ,
  • 76', Puerto E. 🟨,
  • 79', Antonio David 🟨,
  • 81', Olguin M. , Munoz P. ,
  • 82', Fortuny P. , Palacios C. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Soto A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
54%
Draw
25.7%
Marbella
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.2% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 25.8% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.64)
    3.6
    (3.64)
    4.54
    (4.94)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Marbella (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Recent performances by Real Madrid Castilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marbella is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Marbella
    19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1
    12.04.2025 Marbella - Ibiza 2:1
    05.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Marbella 1:1
    29.03.2025 Sevilla B - Marbella 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell261211333:141947
    2Atl. Madrid B26128637:251244
    3CE Europa261011536:28841
    4Eldense251011430:24641
    5FC Cartagena SAD26108825:26-138
    6Teruel26108820:21-138
    7Villarreal B25910633:221137
    8Antequera25107830:27337
    9Algeciras25107828:25337
    10Alcorcon26812625:23236
    11Hercules2699830:30036
    12UD Ibiza2698927:24335
    13Tarazona2689922:25-333
    14Gimnastic26961130:34-433
    15Murcia2588924:25-132
    16Torremolinos26711833:35-232
    17Sanluqueno26661423:37-1424
    18Betis B26571425:41-1622
    19Sevilla FC B26491313:25-1221
    20Marbella25561419:32-1321

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