Real Madrid Castilla vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, Real Madrid TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
310
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
310
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Jimenez D. ,
  • 32', Andres C. 🟨,
  • 34', Awudu T. , Soto A. ,
  • 38', Ribes K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Garcia G. , Fortuny P. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 1, Callejon J. ,
  • 62', Pena M. , Duarte J. ,
  • 62', Bernardo , Fornes G. ,
  • 62', Edwards R. , Zequi ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ,
  • 74', Zuniga L. , Valdepenas V. ,
  • 74', Yusi , Campos A. ,
  • 74', Andres C. , Antonio David ,
  • 76', Puerto E. 🟨,
  • 79', Antonio David 🟨,
  • 81', Olguin M. , Munoz P. ,
  • 82', Fortuny P. , Palacios C. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Soto A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
54%
Draw
25.7%
Marbella
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.2% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 25.8% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.64)
    3.6
    (3.64)
    4.54
    (4.94)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marbella will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Recent performances by Real Madrid Castilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marbella is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Marbella
    19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1
    12.04.2025 Marbella - Ibiza 2:1
    05.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Marbella 1:1
    29.03.2025 Sevilla B - Marbella 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense351811653:332065
    2Sabadell351714448:222665
    3Atl. Madrid B351710856:381861
    4Villarreal B351513748:282058
    5CE Europa351511948:43556
    6FC Cartagena SAD3514111032:32053
    7Algeciras3514101138:36252
    8Teruel3512121126:29-348
    9UD Ibiza3512111238:32647
    10Alcorcon3511141036:33347
    11Antequera351381442:43-147
    12Hercules3512111238:39-147
    13Murcia3512101336:37-146
    14Torremolinos3510131242:45-343
    15Gimnastic351271637:45-843
    16Tarazona3510121329:35-642
    17Betis B351081741:56-1538
    18Marbella35872031:47-1631
    19Sanluqueno ✔ 35782026:51-2529
    20Sevilla FC B ✔ 355111918:39-2126

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sanluqueno is Relegated to
    Sevilla FC B is Relegated to