Real Madrid Castilla vs Marbella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
04/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV, Real Madrid TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
310
Yellow Cards
42
Total shots
911
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
310
Goalkeeper Saves
43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Jimenez D. ,
  • 32', Andres C. 🟨,
  • 34', Awudu T. , Soto A. ,
  • 38', Ribes K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 56', 2 - 0, Garcia G. , Fortuny P. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 1, Callejon J. ,
  • 62', Pena M. , Duarte J. ,
  • 62', Bernardo , Fornes G. ,
  • 62', Edwards R. , Zequi ,
  • 65', 3 - 1, Zuniga L. ,
  • 74', Zuniga L. , Valdepenas V. ,
  • 74', Yusi , Campos A. ,
  • 74', Andres C. , Antonio David ,
  • 76', Puerto E. 🟨,
  • 79', Antonio David 🟨,
  • 81', Olguin M. , Munoz P. ,
  • 82', Fortuny P. , Palacios C. ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 85', Alvarez J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Soto A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Real Madrid Castilla
54%
Draw
25.7%
Marbella
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.2% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4% 25.8% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Marbella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.64)
    3.6
    (3.64)
    4.54
    (4.94)
    8.3%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Marbella will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Recent performances by Real Madrid Castilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Marbella is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Real Madrid Castilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Real Madrid Castilla is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid Castilla - Marbella were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla 1:0
    Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
    Latest results of Marbella
    19.04.2025 Ceuta - Marbella 3:1
    12.04.2025 Marbella - Ibiza 2:1
    05.04.2025 Fuenlabrada - Marbella 1:1
    29.03.2025 Sevilla B - Marbella 0:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense321611547:291859
    2Sabadell321513444:202458
    3Atl. Madrid B32169752:341857
    4Villarreal B321312744:261851
    5CE Europa321311844:40450
    6FC Cartagena SAD321310928:28049
    7Teruel3212101025:26-146
    8Algeciras321291133:34-145
    9Alcorcon321014833:29444
    10Hercules3211111035:36-144
    11UD Ibiza3211101134:31343
    12Murcia321191230:32-242
    13Antequera321181337:39-241
    14Tarazona3210101229:34-540
    15Gimnastic321171435:41-640
    16Torremolinos329121138:42-439
    17Betis B32881637:52-1532
    18Sanluqueno32781725:43-1829
    19Marbella32771828:43-1528
    20Sevilla FC B324111716:35-1923

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