Marc Polmans vs Facundo Mena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelia, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
517
Double Faults
37
1st serve percentage
65%57%
1st serve points won
74% (50/68)84% (47/56)
2nd serve points won
50% (18/36)40% (17/42)
Break Points Saved
4/61/3
1st return points won
16% (9/56)26% (18/68)
2nd return points won
60% (25/42)50% (18/36)
Break Points Converted
2/32/6
Winners
2541
Unforced errors
2738
Net points won
77% (20/26)88% (14/16)
Service Points Won
66% (65/99)65% (64/98)
Return Points Won
35% (34/98)34% (34/99)
Total Points Won
50% (99/197)50% (98/197)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
87% (13/15)87% (13/15)
Return games won
13% (2/15)13% (2/15)
Total games won
50% (15/30)50% (15/30)

Chances of winning


Marc Polmans
40.8%
Facundo Mena
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5% 60.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Facundo Mena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Marc Polmans - Facundo Mena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.23)

    1.56
    (1.58)
    8.1%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Marc Polmans - Facundo Mena?
  • Users Predictions: Facundo Mena will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Polmans is ranked ATP: 362. Mena is ranked ATP: 329.
    • Recent performances by Polmans have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Polmans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mena is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Mena will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Polmans won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    Latest results of Marc Polmans
    Latest results of Facundo Mena
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Huesler M.2 : 1
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (Alt)Ayeni A. (Q)2 : 0
    3Zhukayev B.Vandecasteele Q. (Q)0 : 2
    4Krueger M.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    5Wong C. (4)Mejia N.0 : 2
    6Kozlov S.Martin A.0 : 2
    7Polmans M. (Q)Mena F. (Q)2 : 1
    8Crawford O.Rodesch C. (6)0 : 2
    9Mochizuki S. (5)Smith K. (Alt)2 : 1
    10Ficovich J. P.Alves M. (LL)2 : 0
    11Hernandez A. (WC)Andrade A.0 : 2
    12Catry R. (Q)Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    13Bu Y. (7)Wiskandt M. (LL)2 : 0
    14Galarneau A.Tobon M. (Q)2 : 1
    15Magadan A. (WC)Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)2 : 0
    16Pavlovic L.Walton A. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Duckworth J. (1)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 2
    2Vandecasteele Q.Gojo B. (8)1 : 2
    3Mejia N.Martin A.2 : 0
    4Polmans M.Rodesch C. (6)0 : 2
    5Mochizuki S. (5)Ficovich J. P.1 : 2
    6Andrade A.Schoolkate T.0 : 2
    7Bu Y. (7)Galarneau A.0 : 2
    8Magadan A.Pavlovic L.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pacheco Mendez R.Gojo B. (8)0 : 2
    2Mejia N.Rodesch C. (RET.) (6)0 : 0
    3Ficovich J. P.Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    4Galarneau A.Pavlovic L.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Gojo B. (8)Mejia N.2 : 0
    2Ficovich J. P.Pavlovic L.2 : 1

    Final
    1Gojo B. (8)Ficovich J. P.2 : 0