Result
0:2
14/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 1
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Pedro M. 🟨,
- 30', Pereira Pacheco R. F. 🟨,
- 32', Sousa B. 🟨,
- 41', Erik 🟨,
- 42', Soares P. 🟨,
- 44', Doukoure H. 🟨,
- 45+3', Silva D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', 0 - 1, Balelo ⚽,
- 57', Miguel 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Balelo ⚽, Erik (A),
- 67', Sousa B. ↓, Guimaraes B. ↑,
- 67', Doukoure H. ↓, Mauro Ribeiro ↑,
- 67', Duarte D. ↓, Pedro P. ↑,
- 68', Veiga D. ↓, Vasco Rocha ↑,
- 68', Miguel ↓, Zacarias V. ↑,
- 78', Yuk J. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
- 78', Erik ↓, Matheus Brito ↑,
- 81', Sousa V. ↓, Garro L. ↑,
- 85', Balelo ↓, Fonseca R. ↑,
- 90', Pedro P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Marco 09
25.6% | Draw
29.8% | Paredes
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)The ML Model estimate for Paredes aligns with the current prediction.
Marco 09 - Paredes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(3.32) |
3.09 ↓
(3.19) |
2.06 ↓
(2.08) |
8.7%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marco won 1.
- Marco has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Paredes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Paredes might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Marco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Marco 09 won against Paredes?
Marco 09 has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paredes won against Marco 09?
Paredes has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marco 09 - Paredes were as follows:
11.01.2026
Marco 09
-
Paredes
0:3
05.10.2025
Paredes
-
Marco 09
2:0
01.06.2025
Paredes
-
Marco 09
0:0
11.05.2025
Marco 09
-
Paredes
0:0
24.03.2024
Paredes
-
Marco 09
0:2
Latest results of Marco 09
Latest results of Paredes
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
