Paredes vs Marco 09 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Paredes - Marco 09
Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
46
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
106
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
52
Corner Kicks
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 26', 1 - 0, Yuk J. , Fonseca R. (A),
  • 33', 2 - 0, Miguel ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Matos T. , Sousa T. ,
  • 58', Yuk J. , Buby ,
  • 64', Soares A. , Lemos I. M. ,
  • 65', Veiga D. , Vasco Rocha ,
  • 65', Fonseca R. , Balelo ,
  • 72', Valente M. , Duarte D. ,
  • 80', Erivaldo , Marllon ,
  • 80', Guimaraes B. , Fati V. ,
  • 82', Miguel , Pereira Pacheco R. F. ,
  • 87', Sousa V. , Mauro Ribeiro ,
  • 88', Lemos I. M. 🟨,
  • 90', Ribeiro P. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Paredes
59.4%
Draw
25%
Marco 09
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.4% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 28% 19.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paredes's performance.
  • Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco 09 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Paredes - Marco 09 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.75)
    3.83
    (3.49)
    6.15
    (4.4)
    4.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Recent performances by Paredes have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Marco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Paredes is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paredes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paredes - Marco 09 were as follows:
    01.06.2025 Paredes - Marco 09 0:0
    11.05.2025 Marco 09 - Paredes 0:0
    24.03.2024 Paredes - Marco 09 0:2
    10.12.2023 Marco 09 - Paredes 1:0
    Latest results of Paredes
    28.09.2025 Sanjoanense - Paredes 2:2
    20.09.2025 Paredes - Chaves 0:2
    12.09.2025 Varzim - Paredes 2:2
    23.08.2025 Paredes - Trofense 0:0
    Latest results of Marco 09
    28.09.2025 Marco 09 - Braga B 2:2
    19.09.2025 Marco 09 - Elvas 1:0
    14.09.2025 Marco 09 - Amarante 1:0
    31.08.2025 Cinfães - Marco 09 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trofense843113:6715
    2Sanjoanense826013:10312
    3Braga B83327:7012
    4AD Fafe83329:9012
    5Varzim824213:10310
    6AD Marco 0981614:5-19
    7Amarante82246:10-48
    8Paredes81528:808
    9Vitoria Guimaraes B81437:8-17
    10Sao Joao Ver81435:12-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas852111:7417
    2Mafra843111:8315
    3Academica841313:8513
    4Os Belenenses74129:7213
    5Atletico CP83148:6210
    61u00ba Dezembro72326:10-49
    7Amora82248:11-38
    8Santarem82245:9-48
    9Lusitano GC82159:10-17
    10Covilha81434:8-47

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