Result
05/10/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Chances of winning
Paredes
50.9% | Draw
28% | Marco 09
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Paredes - Marco 09 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.75) |
3.26 ↓
(3.49) |
4.33 ↓
(4.4) |
9.4%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Recent performances by Paredes have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Paredes is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paredes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paredes won against Marco 09?
Paredes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco 09 won against Paredes?
Marco 09 has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paredes - Marco 09 were as follows:
01.06.2025
Paredes
-
Marco 09
0:0
11.05.2025
Marco 09
-
Paredes
0:0
24.03.2024
Paredes
-
Marco 09
0:2
10.12.2023
Marco 09
-
Paredes
1:0
Latest results of Paredes
Latest results of Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 2 | Trofense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Braga B | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 | Varzim | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | AD Marco 09 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Amarante | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Paredes | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 10 | AD Fafe | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 3 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Academica | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Amora | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | Atletico CP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Mafra | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Covilha | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
