Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Yuk J. ⚽, Fonseca R. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Miguel ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Matos T. ↓, Sousa T. ↑,
- 58', Yuk J. ↓, Buby ↑,
- 64', Soares A. ↓, Lemos I. M. ↑,
- 65', Veiga D. ↓, Vasco Rocha ↑,
- 65', Fonseca R. ↓, Balelo ↑,
- 72', Valente M. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 80', Erivaldo ↓, Marllon ↑,
- 80', Guimaraes B. ↓, Fati V. ↑,
- 82', Miguel ↓, Pereira Pacheco R. F. ↑,
- 87', Sousa V. ↓, Mauro Ribeiro ↑,
- 88', Lemos I. M. 🟨,
- 90', Ribeiro P. 🟨,
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Paredes
59.4% | Draw
25% | Marco 09
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paredes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paredes's performance.Marco 09 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco 09 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Paredes - Marco 09 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.75) |
3.83 ↑
(3.49) |
6.15 ↑
(4.4) |
4.2%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Recent performances by Paredes have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Marco is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Paredes is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paredes won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Paredes won against Marco 09?
Paredes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco 09 won against Paredes?
Marco 09 has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paredes - Marco 09 were as follows:
01.06.2025
Paredes
-
Marco 09
0:0
11.05.2025
Marco 09
-
Paredes
0:0
24.03.2024
Paredes
-
Marco 09
0:2
10.12.2023
Marco 09
-
Paredes
1:0
Latest results of Paredes
Latest results of Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sanjoanense | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 5 | Varzim | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Amarante | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 8 | Paredes | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Mafra | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | Academica | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 7 | Amora | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Santarem | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Covilha | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
