Result
2:2
03/05/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Garro L. ⚽, Nandinho (A),
- 18', Goncalves T. ↓, Matos F. ↑,
- 18', Santos Outeiro D. ↓, Macedo Z. ↑,
- 28', Sousa B. 🟨,
- 34', Erik 🟨,
- 42', Nandinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Yuk J. ↓, Carvalho D. ↑,
- 65', Garro L. ↓, Pedrosa C. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 1, Erik ⚽, Pereira Pacheco R. F. (A),
- 80', Duarte D. P. 🟨,
- 86', Ferreira P. ↓, Soares A. ↑,
- 86', Erik ↓, Vasco Rocha ↑,
- 88', Araujo P. 🟨,
- 90', Sousa B. ↓, Pereira H. ↑,
- 90', Pedro P. ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 1, Soares A. ⚽,
- 90+2', Miguel ↓, Moreira Nuno ↑,
- 90+5', Soares A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Vasco Rocha 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Pereira H. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Paredes
33.1% | Draw
28.5% | Marco 09
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paredes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paredes's form might have worsened.Marco 09 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marco 09's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paredes than the current prediction. (+9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paredes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco 09 than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marco 09, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Paredes - Marco 09 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.2) |
3.19 ↓
(3.49) |
2.37 ↓
(2.9) |
9.9%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 3.
- Paredes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Marco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Paredes won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Paredes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Paredes won against Marco 09?
Paredes has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marco 09 won against Paredes?
Marco 09 has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Paredes - Marco 09 were as follows:
14.02.2026
Marco 09
-
Paredes
0:2
11.01.2026
Marco 09
-
Paredes
0:3
05.10.2025
Paredes
-
Marco 09
2:0
01.06.2025
Paredes
-
Marco 09
0:0
11.05.2025
Marco 09
-
Paredes
0:0
Latest results of Paredes
Latest results of Marco 09
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amarante | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18:10 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | Academica | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:14 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Mafra | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 16 |
| 5 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Varzim | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 13 |
| 7 | Santarem | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6:12 | -6 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
