Sebastian Baez vs Marcos Giron – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/01/2026 at 22:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Auckland, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
53
Double Faults
14
1st serve percentage
83%59%
1st serve points won
70% (30/43)62% (29/47)
2nd serve points won
78% (7/9)33% (11/33)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)73% (11/15)
1st return points won
38% (18/47)30% (13/43)
2nd return points won
67% (22/33)22% (2/9)
Break Points Converted
27% (4/15)50% (1/2)
Winners
2115
Unforced errors
2334
Net points won
100% (5/5)86% (6/7)
Service Points Won
71% (37/52)50% (40/80)
Return Points Won
50% (40/80)29% (15/52)
Total Points Won
58% (77/132)42% (55/132)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
89% (8/9)50% (4/8)
Return games won
50% (4/8)11% (1/9)
Total games won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Sebastian Baez
45.6%
Marcos Giron
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38% 62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 59.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Baez's performance.
  • Marcos Giron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcos Giron might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcos Giron than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Sebastian Baez - Marcos Giron Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.5)

    1.85
    (1.53)
    2.1%
    (5.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Baez is ranked ATP: 39. Giron is ranked ATP: 60.
    • Baez is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Giron is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Giron may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Giron might have a minor edge in this game.
    • We predict that Giron will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Baez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Marcos Giron were as follows:
    13.08.2024 Marcos Giron - Sebastian Baez 1:2
    Latest results of Sebastian Baez
    Latest results of Marcos Giron
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Bye
    2Comesana F.Royer V.2 : 0
    3Brooksby J.Watt J. (WC)2 : 0
    4Nava E. (Q)Baez S. (7)1 : 2
    5Darderi L. (4)Bye
    6Tabilo A. (WC)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Muller A.Giron M. (SE)0 : 2
    8Navone M.Michelsen A. (6)1 : 2
    9Norrie C. (5)Gaston H. (Q)2 : 0
    10Bautista-Agut R. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G.0 : 2
    11Medjedovic H. (Q)Kovacevic A.2 : 1
    12ByeMensik J. (3)
    13Borges N. (8)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    14Mannarino A.Spizzirri E. (Q)0 : 2
    15Marozsan F.Monfils G.2 : 1
    16ByeRuud C. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Comesana F.2 : 0
    2Brooksby J.Baez S. (7)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (4)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Giron M.Michelsen A. (6)2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (5)Mpetshi Perricard G.1 : 2
    6Medjedovic H.Mensik J. (3)1 : 2
    7Borges N. (8)Spizzirri E.0 : 2
    8Marozsan F.Ruud C. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Shelton B. (1)Baez S. (7)0 : 2
    2Darderi L. (4)Giron M.1 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Mensik J. (3)0 : 2
    4Spizzirri E.Marozsan F.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Baez S. (7)Giron M.2 : 0
    2Mensik J. (3)Marozsan F.2 : 1

    Final
    1Baez S. (7)Mensik J. (3)0 : 2