Maria Sakkari vs Karolina Muchova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
13/02/2026 at 11:40 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Doha, hard - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
franceFrancebeIN Sports 3
greeceGreeceNova Sports 6
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Tennis

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
31
1st serve percentage
64%64%
1st serve points won
55% (32/58)65% (30/46)
2nd serve points won
52% (17/33)50% (13/26)
Break Points Saved
65% (11/17)60% (6/10)
1st return points won
43% (20/46)50% (29/58)
2nd return points won
50% (13/26)48% (16/33)
Break Points Converted
40% (4/10)35% (6/17)
Service Points Won
53% (48/90)60% (43/72)
Return Points Won
40% (29/72)47% (42/90)
Total Points Won
48% (77/162)52% (85/162)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
10
Service games won
54% (7/13)69% (9/13)
Return games won
31% (4/13)46% (6/13)
Total games won
42% (11/26)58% (15/26)

Chances of winning


Maria Sakkari
30.2%
Karolina Muchova
69.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 65.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 70.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maria Sakkari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Sakkari than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (2.67)

    1.37
    (1.39)
    4.8%
    (9.4%)
    What is the prediction for Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sakkari will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Muchova will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 54%99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sakkari (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Muchova (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Sakkari (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sakkari (votes: 2 - 50%). Muchova (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Sakkari is ranked WTA: 52. Muchova is ranked WTA: 19.
    • Sakkari is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Muchova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Muchova is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sakkari won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova were as follows:
    17.08.2023 Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova 1:2
    28.05.2023 Maria Sakkari - Karolina Muchova 0:2
    Latest results of Maria Sakkari
    Latest results of Karolina Muchova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Bye
    2Tjen J. (WC)Haddad Maia B. (LL)2 : 0
    3Kasatkina D.Uchijima M. (Q)2 : 1
    4Pavlyuchenkova A.Mertens E. (16)0 : 2
    5Noskova L. (9)Joint M.2 : 0
    6Siegemund L.Gracheva V. (Q)0 : 2
    7Sakkari M.Sonmez Z. (WC)2 : 0
    8ByePaolini J. (6)
    9Anisimova A. (3)Bye
    10Sierra S. (LL)Pliskova Ka.0 : 2
    11Eala A.Valentova T. (Q)0 : 2
    12Cristian J.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    13Navarro E. (12)Maria T.2 : 0
    14Kalinskaya A.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 0
    15Yastremska D.Bucsa C.2 : 1
    16ByeSvitolina E. (7)
    17Alexandrova E. (8)Bye
    18Zakharova A. (Q)Ostapenko J.1 : 2
    19Raducanu E. (RET.)Osorio C. (Q)1 : 1
    20Siniakova K.Tauson C. (11)2 : 0
    21Samsonova L. (13)Frech M. (LL)1 : 2
    22Li A.Fernandez L.2 : 0
    23Cocciaretto E. (LL)Jacquemot E. (WC)2 : 0
    24ByeGauff C. (4)
    25Andreeva M. (5)Bye
    26Kartal S. (Q)Linette M.1 : 2
    27Stearns P. (WC)Zvonareva V. (Q)1 : 2
    28Bouzkova M.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    29Shnaider D. (15)Parks A. (Q)1 : 2
    30Zheng Q.Kenin S.2 : 1
    31Wang Xin.Arango E.2 : 0
    32ByeRybakina E. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Tjen J.2 : 0
    2Kasatkina D.Mertens E. (16)2 : 0
    3Noskova L. (9)Gracheva V.1 : 2
    4Sakkari M.Paolini J. (6)2 : 0
    5Anisimova A. (RET.) (3)Pliskova Ka.1 : 1
    6Valentova T.Muchova K. (14)0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (12)Kalinskaya A.1 : 2
    8Yastremska D.Svitolina E. (7)0 : 2
    9Alexandrova E. (8)Ostapenko J.0 : 2
    10Osorio C.Siniakova K.2 : 1
    11Frech M.Li A.0 : 2
    12Cocciaretto E.Gauff C. (4)2 : 0
    13Andreeva M. (5)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Zvonareva V.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2
    15Parks A.Zheng Q.1 : 2
    16Wang Xin.Rybakina E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Kasatkina D.2 : 1
    2Gracheva V.Sakkari M.0 : 2
    3Pliskova Ka. (RET.)Muchova K. (14)0 : 0
    4Kalinskaya A.Svitolina E. (7)2 : 0
    5Ostapenko J.Osorio C.2 : 0
    6Li A.Cocciaretto E.1 : 2
    7Andreeva M. (5)Mboko V. (10)1 : 2
    8Zheng Q.Rybakina E. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Swiatek I. (1)Sakkari M.1 : 2
    2Muchova K. (14)Kalinskaya A.2 : 0
    3Ostapenko J.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    4Mboko V. (10)Rybakina E. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sakkari M.Muchova K. (14)1 : 2
    2Ostapenko J.Mboko V. (10)0 : 2

    Final
    1Muchova K. (14)Mboko V. (10)2 : 0