Vasco da Gama vs Maricá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
15/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 1

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.660.92
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
104
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
35
Passes
86% (318/369)84% (213/254)
Yellow cards
12
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.660.92
xG on target (xGOT)
3.630.86
Total shots
1414
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
128
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
2212
Passes
86% (318/369)84% (213/254)
Long passes
57% (20/35)57% (16/28)
Passes in final third
71% (59/83)68% (49/72)
Crosses
62% (8/13)43% (6/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.46
Throw ins
1416
Fouls
1222
Tackles
64% (7/11)91% (10/11)
Duels won
4428
Clearances
138
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.863.63
Goals prevented
-1.14-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Rayan ,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Coutinho , Andres Gomez (A),
  • 32', Rafael Carioca 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Medeiros A. , Rafael Forster (A),
  • 45', Lucas Piton 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Carvalho F. , Marcelinho ,
  • 46', Almir Silva , Caio Vitor ,
  • 46', Rafael Carioca , Rafael Lucas ,
  • 46', Moreira N. , Rodriguez J. ,
  • 50', 3 - 1, Rayan , Coutinho (A),
  • 55', 4 - 1, Cuesta C. ,
  • 58', Coutinho 🟨,
  • 61', 4 - 2, Marcelo , Caio Vitor (A),
  • 62', Medeiros A. , Matheus Alessandro ,
  • 68', Matheus Lira , Wellington ,
  • 74', Coutinho , Tche Tche ,
  • 80', Marcelinho 🟨,
  • 85', Rayan , Vegetti P. ,
  • 89', Thiago Mendes , David ,
  • 90', Andres Gomez , Hugo Moura ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vasco da Gama
66.3%
Draw
21.5%
Maricá
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 22.1% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Maricá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Vasco da Gama - Maricá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.48)
    4.29
    (4.18)
    7.56
    (6)
    8.6%
    (8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama - Maricá?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Vasco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • In this match, Vasco is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vasco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vasco da Gama - Maricá were as follows:
    29.01.2025 Maricá - Vasco da Gama 0:1
    Latest results of Vasco da Gama
    Latest results of Maricá
    06.09.2025 Portuguesa RJ - Maricá 1:1
    03.09.2025 Maricá - Portuguesa RJ 0:2
    27.08.2025 Madureira - Maricá 1:2
    20.08.2025 Maricá - Madureira 4:0
    13.08.2025 Maricá - Petrópolis 0:0
    Draw
    Taca Guanabara - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1FluminenseBangu3 : 1
    2VascoVolta Redonda2 : 1
    3Botafogo RJFlamengo RJ1 : 2
    4MadureiraBoavista2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FluminenseVasco1 : 0
    2Flamengo RJMadureira3 : 0

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2