Marília vs Desportivo Brasil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A3 - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, ,
  • 32', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Marília
68.4%
Draw
22.2%
Desportivo Brasil
9.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.6% 25.5% 13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 24.3% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marília has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marília's performance.
  • Desportivo Brasil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marília than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportivo Brasil than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Marília - Desportivo Brasil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.51)
    4.11
    (3.58)
    9.69
    (6.59)
    9.6%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
    • Marília is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Desportivo Brasil has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Marília is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Marília will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marília won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Marília won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marília - Desportivo Brasil were as follows:
    29.01.2025 Desportivo Brasil - Marília 1:2
    28.02.2024 Marília - Desportivo Brasil 3:0
    Latest results of Marília
    25.02.2026 Catanduva - Marília 1:1
    11.02.2026 Rio Preto - Marília 1:1
    Latest results of Desportivo Brasil
    Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Portuguesa Santista1080218:81024
    2Marilia1064016:41222
    3Rio Claro1063113:7621
    4XV de Jau1052312:9317
    5Rio Preto1045115:11417
    6Catanduva1044213:9416
    7Uniao Barbarense1044210:9116
    8EC Sao Bernardo1043311:8315
    9Paulista1033411:11012
    10Uniao Sao Joao103349:9012
    11Rio Branco SP102448:13-510
    12Bandeirante102447:13-610
    13Francana102178:14-67
    14Itapirense1013610:17-76
    15Desportivo101365:16-116
    16Uniao Suzano101278:16-85

          Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Paulista A4