Marin Cilic vs Adrian Mannarino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/01/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
90
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
49%73%
1st Serve Points Won
93% (26/28)61% (22/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (15/29)38% (5/13)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
42% (15/36)11% (3/28)
2nd Return Points Won
62% (8/13)48% (14/29)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)0% (0/1)
Winners
238
Unforced Errors
2221
Net Points Won
67% (4/6)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
70% (39/56)55% (27/49)
Return Points Won
45% (22/49)30% (17/56)
Total Points Won
58% (61/105)42% (44/105)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)63% (5/8)
Return Games Won
38% (3/8)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
71% (12/17)29% (5/17)

Chances of winning


Marin Cilic
56.8%
Adrian Mannarino
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.9% 42.1%

Marin Cilic - Adrian Mannarino Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.69
(1.6)

2.28
(2.2)
3.1%
(8%)
What is the prediction for Marin Cilic - Adrian Mannarino?
  • Users Predictions: Marin Cilic will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Marin Cilic will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cilic is ranked ATP: 73. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 69.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cilic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
    Latest results of Marin Cilic
    Latest results of Adrian Mannarino
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Bye
    2Etcheverry T. M.Royer V.2 : 0
    3Wong C. (WC)Navone M.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Diallo G. (6)0 : 2
    5Rublev A. (3)Bye
    6Wu Y. (WC)Marozsan F.2 : 0
    7Cilic M.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Dzumhur D.Borges N. (8)0 : 2
    9Muller A. (7)Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    10Djere L. (Q)Giron M.0 : 2
    11Tabilo A. (Q)Mmoh M. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeKhachanov K. (4)
    13Sonego L. (5)Sakamoto R. (NG)2 : 0
    14Shang J. (WC)Comesana F.2 : 0
    15Struff J-L. (Q)Van De Zandschulp B.1 : 2
    16ByeBublik A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Wong C.Diallo G. (6)2 : 1
    3Rublev A. (3)Wu Y.2 : 1
    4Cilic M.Borges N. (8)0 : 2
    5Muller A. (7)Giron M.0 : 2
    6Mmoh M.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    7Sonego L. (5)Shang J.0 : 2
    8Van De Zandschulp B.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Wong C.2 : 0
    2Rublev A. (3)Borges N. (8)2 : 0
    3Giron M.Mmoh M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Shang J.Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Rublev A. (3)
    2Giron M.Bublik A. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2