Marin Cilic vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Girona Challenger Men Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta
Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona, clay - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
51
Double Faults
43
1st Serve Percentage
47%49%
1st Serve Points Won
72% (28/39)55% (16/29)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (23/44)50% (15/30)
Break Points Saved
90% (9/10)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
45% (13/29)28% (11/39)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (15/30)48% (21/44)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)10% (1/10)
Service Points Won
61% (51/83)53% (31/59)
Return Points Won
47% (28/59)39% (32/83)
Total Points Won
56% (79/142)44% (63/142)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Marin Cilic
44.1%
Pablo Carreno-Busta
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marin Cilic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Carreno-Busta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.11
    (2.37)

    1.67
    (1.53)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)
    What is the prediction for Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cilic is ranked ATP: 143. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 109.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cilic won 4.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Carreno Busta will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Cilic won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
    23.11.2022 Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta 2:1
    Latest results of Marin Cilic
    Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Gaubas V. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Cilic M.Taberner C.2 : 0
    3Landaluce M.Radulov I. (Q)0 : 2
    4Cachin P. (Q)Carreno-Busta P. (6)0 : 2
    5De Jong J. (4)Droguet T. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Misolic F. (Q)Zapata Miralles B. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rocha H.Neumayer L. (Q)0 : 2
    8Ofner S.Cerundolo J. M. (8)2 : 0
    9Lajovic D. (5)Squire H.2 : 0
    10Choinski J.Moro Canas A. (WC)0 : 2
    11Albot R. (Alt)Ramos A. (WC)2 : 1
    12Skatov T. (Q)Dellien H. (3)2 : 0
    13Coria F. (7)Moller E.0 : 2
    14Budkov Kjaer N.Engel J.2 : 1
    15Blanchet U.Trungelliti M.2 : 1
    16Hassan B. (Alt)Shevchenko A. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Fucsovics M. (1)Cilic M.1 : 2
    2Radulov I.Carreno-Busta P. (6)1 : 2
    3De Jong J. (4)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4Neumayer L.Ofner S.1 : 2
    5Lajovic D. (5)Moro Canas A.2 : 0
    6Albot R.Skatov T.1 : 2
    7Moller E.Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    8Blanchet U.Hassan B.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cilic M.Carreno-Busta P. (6)2 : 0
    2De Jong J. (4)Ofner S.2 : 1
    3Lajovic D. (5)Skatov T.2 : 0
    4Moller E.Hassan B.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cilic M.De Jong J. (4)2 : 0
    2Lajovic D. (5)Moller E.0 : 2

    Final
    1Cilic M.Moller E.2 : 0