Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Girona, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 47% | 49% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 72% (28/39) | 55% (16/29) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 50% (15/30) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 33% (2/6) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (13/29) | 28% (11/39) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (15/30) | 48% (21/44) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 10% (1/10) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (51/83) | 53% (31/59) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 39% (32/83) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (79/142) | 44% (63/142) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Marin Cilic
44.1% | Pablo Carreno-Busta
55.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marin Cilic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pablo Carreno-Busta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.11 ↓
(2.37) |
|
1.67 ↑
(1.53) |
7.5%
(7.4%) | |
What is the prediction for Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Cilic will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Cilic is ranked ATP: 143. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 109.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cilic won 4.
- Two players are playing changeable.
- Carreno Busta will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 6 head-to-head matches Cilic won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 2:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Marin Cilic won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?
Marin Cilic has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Marin Cilic?
Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marin Cilic - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:
23.11.2022
Marin Cilic
-
Pablo Carreno-Busta
2:1
Latest results of Marin Cilic
Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Fucsovics M. (1) | Gaubas V. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cilic M. | Taberner C. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Landaluce M. | Radulov I. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Cachin P. (Q) | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | De Jong J. (4) | Droguet T. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Misolic F. (Q) | Zapata Miralles B. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rocha H. | Neumayer L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ofner S. | Cerundolo J. M. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Lajovic D. (5) | Squire H. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Choinski J. | Moro Canas A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Albot R. (Alt) | Ramos A. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Skatov T. (Q) | Dellien H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Coria F. (7) | Moller E. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Budkov Kjaer N. | Engel J. | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Blanchet U. | Trungelliti M. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Hassan B. (Alt) | Shevchenko A. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fucsovics M. (1) | Cilic M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Radulov I. | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | De Jong J. (4) | Misolic F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Neumayer L. | Ofner S. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Lajovic D. (5) | Moro Canas A. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Albot R. | Skatov T. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Moller E. | Budkov Kjaer N. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Blanchet U. | Hassan B. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cilic M. | Carreno-Busta P. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | De Jong J. (4) | Ofner S. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Lajovic D. (5) | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Moller E. | Hassan B. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cilic M. | De Jong J. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Lajovic D. (5) | Moller E. | 0 : 2 |
Final
